LLAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY, #1086, Saturday, (10/25/2025)

“End Nuclear Insanity Before Nuclear Insanity Ends Humanity.” ~llaw

Lloyd A. Williams-Pendergraft

Oct 25, 2025

Today’s Image . . .

Inside the control room of the Global Operations Center of the US Strategic Command (STRATCOM) at Offutt Air Force Base, Nebraska as depicted in A House of Dynamite by Kathryn Bigelow. (Credits: Eros Hoagland/Netflix © 2025.)

LLAW’s All Things Nuclear Concerns: What’s New and Important in the Nuclear World and What to do About It!

The, ‘A House of Dynamite’ movie didn’t really capture how the toll from a single nuclear bomb can easily destroy all of humanity beyond the movie’s critical but honest sorrowful vision of our governmental/political/military levels of human life and then leaves to our own imaginations about how one nuclear bomb dropped on Chicago can easily create a global nuclear war. But it did clearly point out how drastically ill-prepared we, as a country, are able to defend ourselves. “Trying to hit a bullet with a bullet” (like Trump’s “Golden Dome” for instance) is not gonna happen, yet Trump, et al, is spending billions upon billions to do try to do just that . . .

There is also the dangerous factor that we attempted to retaliate against an incoming nuclear bomb that was anonymous to us — pure speculation what nation was to blame. This is more dangerous than the bomb itself because there is a difference in the extended repercussions of, say, it was Russia rather than North Korea, although potentially it might not, in reality, matter . . . But it does demonstrate how one bomb could, by counter attacks followed by more of our own inspiring other countries who will instantly become involved in annihilating virtually all life on planet Earth — and not just human life. (for more, read the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists’ review below). ~llaw

Today’s Feature Story from LLAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY is from category. . .

Nuclear War Threats

NEWS

Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

What we should be talking about after watching Bigelow’s ‘A House of Dynamite’ nuclear thriller

By Mark Goodman | October 25, 2025

Kathryn Bigelow’s new film, A House of Dynamite, presents a compelling, Rashomon-style dissection of a moment of crisis from three different perspectives. Other nuclear wonks have praised the film for exposing the dangers of nuclear weapons. While the film is a work of cinematic art in its own right, Bigelow’s main objective is to make the audience reflect on those dangers and discuss how to deal with them.

Surprise attack, realistic response. The film gets many important facts right. Chiefly, it illustrates the dilemmas and paradoxes of nuclear deterrence. Deterrence is supposed to prevent war, but it depends on making the threat of nuclear war credible enough that it deters actions that could lead to war. In normal times, when tensions are low, deterrence can contribute to stability; in times of crisis, it can prompt decision makers to act with greater caution. But crises can also create a “use it or lose it” pressure to launch nuclear weapons while it’s still possible. The decision time can be painfully short—19 minutes in this movie. As one character puts it in the film, the choice is between suicide—launching a retaliatory strike knowing the response will be devastating—and surrender. This is why President Barack Obama’s Nuclear Posture Review in 2010 put a premium on giving the president more time to decide.

The movie also shows the machinery of government as it faces a crisis. It presents the drama first at the operational level: soldiers and watch officers going from routine to “What the heck?” in the blink of an eye. A single long-range missile is heading to Chicago from northeast Asia—probably from North Korea, but it could be Russia or China. The second iteration brings in a sprawling array of experts and policy advisors as they seek to understand what is happening, the choices, and the consequences.

The third iteration shows decision makers—the defense secretary and the president—suddenly facing an urgent dilemma with no good choices. In the movie, the scenario jumps to “DEFCON 2,” which is the second-highest state of military readiness for which armed forces are on high alert and could deploy and engage in combat within six hours. And when the interception fails, the scenario moves to “DEFCON 1,” the maximum readiness posture when an attack is imminent or already underway. I’ve never been that close to a crisis—DECON 2 was ordered only once during the Cuban Missile Crisis, and DEFCON 1 is without precedent—but the human and institutional dynamics at each level seemed plausible. It’s hard to avoid wondering how the change in leadership and the loss of expertise within the government would affect decision-making today.

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But for all it gets right, the film also muddles some key points.

The biggest one is the misfit between the scenario—a single missile—and the need to respond before that missile hits Chicago. Why the rush? While the United States maintains the option to launch under attack, this is not the only option or even the primary one. The use-it-or-lose-it logic only makes sense if the incoming attack threatens the US ability to retaliate. In the film, the head of Strategic Command offers a rationale for an immediate counter-launch: Russia or China might attack the United States at a moment of weakness. I found this completely unpersuasive. Time is a resource not to be squandered. Decision makers can afford to wait to see if the warhead explodes, take time to try to confirm who was responsible, and communicate authoritatively with the key players before ordering a counter-attack with virtually guaranteed unacceptable damage to the enemy.

Illusion of ‘damage limitation.’ The film brings to mind current debates over whether the United States needs more nuclear weapons to simultaneously deter Russia and China, particularly as China’s stockpile is growing by roughly a hundred warheads a year. The conventional wisdom seems to be that the United States does, based on arcane calculations of what deterrence requires, which in turn are based on policy assumptions about what nuclear weapons are for.

It turns out that what drives the numbers is not what one might think of as the primary role of nuclear weapons—to deter a nuclear attack against the United States. Rather, the numbers are based on the secondary role of trying to limit damage to the United States if deterrence fails. Damage limitation makes sense in principle, but in practice is virtually impossible, and trying to limit damage can do more harm than good. According to the logic of damage limitation, the United States would launch a preemptive attack to destroy the other side’s nuclear weapons and limit their ability to destroy the United States. This notion of preemption is what creates the use-it-or-lose-it pressure, and that pressure gets worse when the United States designs its nuclear forces to emphasize the ability to strike first over the ability to ride out the attack and then retaliate.

Damage limitation in nuclear war is fundamentally a mirage.

If even a small number of nuclear weapons survive a first strike, they could still wreak massive devastation. A nuclear power cannot escape its own vulnerability. There’s a saying that the first casualty of war is the war plan, and nuclear war is no exception. Any use of nuclear weapons would fundamentally change the nature of a conflict. Everything, including the scenarios and dilemmas confronting decision makers, would be transformed in unpredictable ways. Catastrophe might not be inevitable, but it would loom at every turn. It is this incalculable danger—not the calculations of the planners—that is the unavoidable essence of nuclear deterrence.

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Missile defense myth. A House of Dynamite also gets the futility of missile defense right, but it does not explain why. Sure, the limited defense system failed in the film, but one could argue we could do better. Wouldn’t President Donald Trump’s proposed Golden Dome defend the United States against a nuclear attack? As counterintuitive as it sounds, the answer is no. Worse, it would be futile and dangerous.

Golden Dome is futile because it’s always going to be easier and cheaper for the attacker to overwhelm, spoof, or circumvent any missile defense system. Take Russia’s war against Ukraine for example: Russian missiles can relatively easily hit Ukrainian cities and infrastructure, while Russian ground forces are at a standstill. The attacker’s advantage is magnified for intercontinental-range missiles, which are faster and harder to hit, and any failure to intercept a nuclear warhead would be disastrous.

And missile defense is dangerous because, if paired with a nuclear force structure designed to preempt, it can magnify the temptation to use that force to strike first. Defending against a first strike is futile, but defending against a weaker second strike might not be. This could make the destabilizing use-it-or-lose-it pressure even worse. The temptation of either side to launch a disarming first strike could be magnified by the belief that its missile defense could blunt the other side’s retaliatory strike. This temptation depends on believing in the defense’s effectiveness, even if that belief is unjustified.

I spent most of my career in government trying to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons and avoid nuclear war. After the Cold War, the world seemed to lose interest in nuclear weapons. Arms control and risk reduction became niche topics for a narrow group of insiders and experts. Bigelow’s A House of Dynamite is a welcome and useful reminder that the dangers of nuclear weapons not only never went away, but they have been growing in recent years. Hopefully, this renewed attention will stimulate a rethinking of the United States’ nuclear posture so that the danger of possessing and deploying nuclear weapons does not outweigh the threats they are meant to deter.


TODAY’S NUCLEAR WORLD NEWS, Saturday, (10/25/2025)

About Today’s Nuclear News and How it Works:

There are 7 categories, including a bonus non-nuclear category for news about the Yellowstone caldera and other volcano and caldera activity around the world that also play an important role in the survival of human and other life.

The feature categories provide articles and information about ‘all things nuclear’ for you to pick from, usually with up to 3 links with headlines concerning the most important media stories in each category, but sometimes fewer and occasionally even none (especially so with the Yellowstone Caldera). If there was no news from a Category today, the Category will not appear. The Categories are listed below in their usual order:

  1. All Things Nuclear
  2. Nuclear Power
  3. Nuclear Power Emergencies
  4. Nuclear War Threats
  5. Nuclear War
  6. Yellowstone Caldera
  7. IAEA News (Friday’s only)

A current Digest of major nuclear media headlines with automated links is listed below by nuclear Category (in the above listed order). If a Category heading does not appear in the daily news Digest, it means there was no news reported from this Category today. Generally, the three best articles in each Category from around the nuclear world(s) are Posted. Occasionally, if a Post is important enough, it may be listed in multiple Categories.

Today’s Nuclear World News

All Things Nuclear

NEWS

A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE Ending Explained: Kathryn Bigelow Analyzes Nuclear War Thriller

Netflix

While A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE is a story about political actors, it’s not only a political story — it’s a thriller where every small action has global …

Texas company eyes former Vermont Yankee site for battery energy storage system – WSHU

WSHU

All Things Considered. Next Up: 6:30 PM Marketplace. 0:00. 0:00. All Things … nuclear waste that is being stored near the former nuclear power plant.

Bunker Talk: Let’s Talk About All The Things We Did And Didn’t Cover This Week

The War Zone

377th Test and Evaluation Group missile operators conduct mission operations at Vandenberg Space Force Base,. Staff Sgt. Michael Richmond. The TWZ …

Nuclear Power

NEWS

The Low-Hanging Fruit of Nuclear Power – Barron’s

Barron’s

17). Buying Calpine is huge. Constellation also owns all of the nuclear power plants in Illinois, as well as those of Philadelphia Electric Power and …

Trump Administration Providing Weapons Grade Plutonium to Sam Altman – Futurism

Futurism

To meet demand, the Trump administration has embraced nuclear energy, which currently depends almost entirely on foreign imports of uranium into the …

The Low-Hanging Fruit of Nuclear Power – Barron’s

Barron’s

Buying Calpine is huge. Constellation also owns all of the nuclear power plants in Illinois, as well as those of Philadelphia Electric Power and …

Nuclear Power Emergencies

NEWS

Radiological emergency exercise successful at Byron nuclear plant | MyStateline

MyStateline

The Byron nuclear plant conducted a radiological emergency preparedness exercise involving nearly 200 participants, while officials.

Emergency preparedness targets met at Byron nuclear plant exercise – YouTube

YouTube

The Byron nuclear plant conducted a radiological emergency preparedness exercise earlier this week, involving nearly 200 participants from Ogle …

Nuclear War Threats

NEWS

What we should be talking about after watching Bigelow’s ‘A House of Dynamite’ nuclear thriller

Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

Deterrence is supposed to prevent war, but it depends on making the threat of nuclear war credible enough that it deters actions that could lead to …

Chicago faces a major nuclear threat in Kathryn Bigelow’s latest film “A House of Dynamite”

Chicago Sun-Times

As for the likelihood of a present-day attack, Bell said, “even though the threat has ebbed and flowed over the years, we’re really in the worst …

F-35 Proving Itself On The Front Line And Evolving For Future Threats – The War Zone

The War Zone

F-35 Proving Itself On The Front Line And Evolving For Future Threats. Branded Content: Lockheed Martin is looking at “next-gen” F-35 capabilities to …

Nuclear War

NEWS

“A House of Dynamite” is a reminder of the folly of our nuclear era

msnbc.com

That nuclear war doesn’t seem zeitgeisty these days might make it seem … That would allow it to strike back even if it were hit with a nuclear attack …

Exclusive look at NATO’s nuclear war games – NBC News

NBC News

NBC News got an exclusive look at NATO jets carrying out simulated nuclear strikes carrying U.S. bombs. NBC News’ Raf Sanchez reports.

What we should be talking about after watching Bigelow’s ‘A House of Dynamite’ nuclear thriller

Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

Deterrence is supposed to prevent war, but it depends on making the threat of nuclear war credible enough that it deters actions that could lead to …

Yellowstone Caldera

NEWS

Yellowstone Volcanic Activity on the Move, Geologists Warn – MSN

MSN

The Yellowstone Caldera—the name refers to the large crater left behind after an eruption—is one of the largest volcanic systems on Earth. It is …

Discussion about this post

LLAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY, #1085, Friday, (10/24/2025)

“End Nuclear Insanity Before Nuclear Insanity Ends Humanity.” ~llaw

Lloyd A. Williams-Pendergraft

Oct 24, 2025

Today’s Image . . .

Image of interstellar incoming unknown object “3I/Atlas” that has turned the Astronomy world upside down.

LLAW’s All Things Nuclear Concerns: What’s New and Important in the Nuclear World and What to do About It!

Aside from the latest astronomic data on the incoming “AI/Atlas” interstellar object once thought to be a comet, I keep having these dark incomplete subconscious, usually half-awake, morning “dreams”. They go along something like a warm-up or a “global plan” that a nuclear WWIII might be on the way related to countries, leaders, weapons of mass destruction, politics, etc. — with all kinds of various episode-like “what if” scenarios — leading up to an unknown “conclusion” or an actual following event, truce, or war — but there is always an awareness or a feeling of “clear and present danger” of an immanent global “end of the world” that never arrives. I always consider that odd missing link to be a good sign. But is it? So it seems at this same time I also realize that I may be lying to myself or perhaps filled with future fear . . .

But there are some preliminary actions and progressive build-up events and varied circumstances and actions that lead me to “realize” that a nuclear war is beginning just before I fully awaken. But shortly, during the my fully awakened hours, I spend much of my time rationalizing these cut-off “dreams” as inaccurate nonsense relative to the well thought-out dreamy details, but the feeling of an immanent nuclear war always remains there in the fore-front of my brain like there is a something of dire importance that I have forgotten to include that I must add but can’t seem to remember or recall what it is. Fortunately, I have learned to suppress this dark unknown urge, and I’m sure that part of the suppression is included in the writing of this blog each and every day . . . now about to begin its fourth year.

But every day, as I review the day’s nuclear news and write my brief comments or concerns for this blog, I have an empty feeling as though I am leaving something out that I am aware of, but force myself to abandon, even though I have no idea what the rest of the message might be. So I push the feeling away and sign off on what sometimes seems to me to be lacking something vitally important — whatever it may be . . . ~llaw


Today’s Feature Story from LLAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY is from category. . .

New Post from Michio Kaku, a well-known Theoretical Physicist” adds to the unbelievable questions from the once believed to be a comet called “3I/Atlas” that is intelligent and possibly an alien form of life . . . ~llaw

3I/Atlas Astronomical Alert courtesy of “YouTube”

NEWS

https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/m8fHuneeons?rel=0&autoplay=0&showinfo=0&enablejsapi=0


TODAY’S NUCLEAR WORLD NEWS, Friday, (10/24/2025)

About Today’s Nuclear News and How it Works:

There are 7 categories, including a bonus non-nuclear category for news about the Yellowstone caldera and other volcano and caldera activity around the world that also play an important role in the survival of human and other life.

The feature categories provide articles and information about ‘all things nuclear’ for you to pick from, usually with up to 3 links with headlines concerning the most important media stories in each category, but sometimes fewer and occasionally even none (especially so with the Yellowstone Caldera). If there was no news from a Category today, the Category will not appear. The Categories are listed below in their usual order:

  1. All Things Nuclear
  2. Nuclear Power
  3. Nuclear Power Emergencies
  4. Nuclear War Threats
  5. Nuclear War
  6. Yellowstone Caldera
  7. IAEA News (Friday’s only)

A current Digest of major nuclear media headlines with automated links is listed below by nuclear Category (in the above listed order). If a Category heading does not appear in the daily news Digest, it means there was no news reported from this Category today. Generally, the three best articles in each Category from around the nuclear world(s) are Posted. Occasionally, if a Post is important enough, it may be listed in multiple Categories.

Today’s Nuclear World News

Nuclear Power

NEWS

Brookfield in Advanced Talks for Massive Nuclear Project in South Carolina – WSJ

The Wall Street Journal

… nuclear power that will be generated there, Staton said. Santee Cooper … But growing electricity demand has renewed interest in nuclear plants.

Is Nuclear Power the Missing Link in Shipping’s Decarbonization? – The Maritime Executive

The Maritime Executive

The Secretary General of the International Atomic Energy Agency noted a few years ago that without nuclear energy, achieving global climate goals will …

Newcleo, Nextchem joint venture launched – World Nuclear News

World Nuclear News

France-based innovative reactor developer Newcleo has awarded an engineering services contract to NEXT-N, its newly-launched joint venture with …

All Things Nuclear

NEWS

Here’s what experts say ‘A House of Dynamite’ gets wrong (and right) about nuclear war

Ideastream Public Media

“I do think the system in Alaska — if all it had to do was hit one lonely missile fired all by itself — I think they have a good chance of that,” he …

A House of Dynamite: The Netflix movie is terrifying. Is it realistic?

slate.com

He says he heard the phrase on a podcast, someone saying nuclear weapons were like “a house of dynamite”—one lit match could blow everything up, no …

I’ve Been Writing About Nuclear War for 40 Years. No Movie Has Shaken Me Like This One.

Yahoo

For instance, a call is organized every time North Korea prepares to launch a missile, because nobody knows whether the missile is armed, or whether …

Nuclear War

NEWS

Here’s what experts say ‘A House of Dynamite’ gets wrong (and right) about nuclear war

NPR

The nuclear attack was (probably) not the most realistic. As the film opens, it appears to be a relatively normal day. The nation’s state of nuclear …

Here’s what experts say ‘A House of Dynamite’ gets wrong (and right) about nuclear war

Ideastream Public Media

The nuclear attack was (probably) not the most realistic · The depiction of the America’s missile defenses isn’t perfect · The doomsday Zoom call is …

Japan scrambles jets after nuclear-capable Russian bombers fly nearby | Reuters

Reuters

Japan said it scrambled jets on Friday to monitor Russian warplanes, including strategic bombers capable of carrying nuclear … Israel and Hamas at War …

Nuclear Power Emergencies

NEWS

IAEA: External power restored to Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant | NHK WORLD-JAPAN News

nhk.or.jp

During that time, the plant had to rely on emergency generators. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi described the power restoration as “a …

a systematic review of recommended stockpile items for radiological and nuclear emergencies

BMC Emergency Medicine – BioMed Central

These events can stem from unintentional incidents like nuclear power plant (NPP) accidents or radiation overexposures in nuclear medicine. More …

External Power Restored To Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Plant After 30 Days

Eurasia Review

… emergency diesel generators to power its essential safety functions. International Atomic Energy Agency Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi …

Nuclear War Threats

NEWS

Kathryn Bigelow’s House of Dynamite Is Wake-Up Call on Nuclear Weapons – Variety

Variety

… nuclear, biological, and emerging technology threats imperiling humanity. … For many who grew up after the Cold War and without the constant fear of …

Does the Golden Dome Create Strategic Instability or an Opportunity with China and Russia? – CSIS

CSIS

Warfare, Irregular Threats, and Terrorism Program. Economic Security and … The Golden Dome could end up helping to reduce the chances of nuclear war …

Netflix Thriller Reignites Nuclear War Debate In America – Evrim Ağacı

Evrim Ağacı

… threat to Chicago and sparking debate on U.S. nuclear … nuclear threats, military readiness, and the chilling realities of nuclear war.

Weekly roundup of news from iaea.org

10/23/2025

Read the top news and updates published on IAEA.org this week.

http://www.iaea.org/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail_165x110/public/2025-10/situation_in_ukraine_banner_1.jpg?itok=ObT-BVls

23 October 2025

Update 323 – IAEA Director General Statement on Situation in Ukraine

Read more →

http://www.iaea.org/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail_165x110/public/2025-10/chong-1600x900.png?itok=-f2JNLU4

22 October 2025

IAEA Profile: Shaping the Nuclear Workforce through Data

Growing up in Klang, Malaysia, Sher Chin Chong, known as Jeannie, was inspired by the stories of resilience and perseverance told by her grandparents, who lived through World War II, and her parents’ determination to overcome poverty. Read more →

http://www.iaea.org/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail_165x110/public/2025-10/flag-hungary1140x640.jpg?itok=TBPqTheh

21 October 2025

IAEA Mission Reviews Hungary’s Nuclear and Radiation Safety Framework

Read more →

http://www.iaea.org/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail_165x110/public/2025-10/internationalconferenceonresilience2025webstory.png?itok=qtEkJW2Z

20 October 2025

IAEA Hosts International Conference on Enhancing Resilience of Nuclear Facilities Subjected to External Hazards

Nuclear industry representatives will gather in Vienna this week for a conference exploring safety measures at nuclear facilities, organized by the IAEA in cooperation with the World Meteorological Organization. Read more →

http://www.iaea.org/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail_165x110/public/2025-10/opec-fund2.png?itok=K2cxbIs5

17 October 2025

IAEA and OPEC Fund Expand Cooperation to Support Nuclear Energy for Development

Read more →

Discussion about this post

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“End Nuclear Insanity Before Nuclear Insanity Ends Humanity”

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LLAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY, #1084, Thursday, (10/23/2025)

“End Nuclear Insanity Before Nuclear Insanity Ends Humanity.” ~llaw

Lloyd A. Williams-Pendergraft

Oct 23, 2025

Today’s Image . . .

A still from the movie "A House of Dynamite"

LLAW’s All Things Nuclear Concerns: What’s New and Important in the Nuclear World and What to do About It!

I recommend this movie — A House of Dynamite — which is available on “Netflix” beginning tomorrow as a primer for what a nuclear war would likely be like. The article/discussion presented here is much better in my opinion than the negative review and sub-par “Variety” Post I recently made about the film A House of Dynamite, on LLAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY, #1080, Sunday, (10/19/2025) in case you want to compare notes . . . ~llaw

Today’s Feature Story from LLAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY is from category. . .

Nuclear War

NEWS

This Movie Makes Nuclear War Feel Disturbingly Possible

An interview with the A House of Dynamite screenwriter Noah Oppenheim and Tom Nichols

By Hanna Rosin

A still from the movie "A House of Dynamite"
Netflix

October 23, 2025, 7 AM ET

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A still from the movie "A House of Dynamite"

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In Kathryn Bigelow’s new movie, A House of Dynamite, the clock is ticking. The film’s fictional president of the United States has less than 20 minutes and very little information to decide whether or not to retaliate against a nuclear missile, launched at the United States, from an unknown source. The story is, of course, fiction, but as with Bigelow’s other war movies, it feels disturbingly plausible. During the Cold War, the likely scenario was a war with the Soviet Union. Now there are nine nuclear powers, which makes the possibility of error, rogue actors, or a total information vacuum more likely. And the arms race is only heating up.

Bigelow and screenwriter Noah Oppenheim make some deliberate choices in the movie, which is out in select theaters and arriving on Netflix this Friday. The president is a rational—even affable—character. The military personnel follow all the correct protocol. The general in charge is reliable and unruffled. “We did everything right, right?” one of the officers asks his colleagues. The answer the movie provides is yes, but that doesn’t change the underlying insanity of the situation: The house of dynamite we’ve built could explode in a matter of minutes and wipe out cities’ worth of people.

In this episode we talk to Oppenheim about why he and Bigelow structured the movie the way they did and why they focused on nuclear war now. And we talk to Tom Nichols, a national-security writer at the Atlantic, about the realities of nuclear proliferation at this moment, and how a nuclear scenario might unfold with a president driven by very different motivations from the film’s fictional creation.

The following is a transcript of the episode:

[Music]

Hanna Rosin: The new movie A House of Dynamite, directed by Kathryn Bigelow, begins with some banal chatting between two military personnel at a base office. Like it could be an SNL skit about your corny, annoying colleague. And then all of a sudden the movie takes a sharp turn.

The office is Fort Greely, a U.S. missile-defense site in Alaska. And the military personnel there notice that this ICBM they’ve been tracking on their screens? Its arc is flattening. In fact, it’s headed straight towards the U.S., and they have no idea who launched it.

The missile has about 20 minutes until it hits a major American city. And they have just one chance to shoot it down.

Female military officer (from A House of Dynamite): Three … two … one …

(Phone rings.)

Male military officer one: Confirm impact. Confirm impact!

Male military officer two: Standby. Standby confirm.

Rosin: The movie maintains this level of intensity the whole way through. It’s definitely funny at moments, cleverly constructed, but it’s so realistic, so obviously relevant to the world we live in, that it’s very hard to relax while watching it.

I’m Hanna Rosin. This is Radio AtlanticA House of Dynamite forces us to live inside a reality that’s mostly too big and too awful to contemplate.

But the thing is, the threat of nuclear war hasn’t gone away. In the decades since the Cold War, it’s just evolved. Instead of a Soviet Union, there are now nine nuclear powers, which makes the situation more volatile, less predictable.

The movie just reminds us of this reality, that we are all still living in a house of dynamite that could explode at any moment and easily get out of our control.

President of the United States: This is insanity, okay?

General Anthony Brady: No, sir, this is reality.

Male voice: Six minutes to impact.

Noah Oppenheim wrote A House of Dynamite, and staff writer Tom Nichols, who covers national security, consulted on the film. I’m talking to them about the making of the movie and how close it is to reality.

Noah, welcome to the show.

Noah Oppenheim: Thank you.

Rosin: Tom, welcome.

Tom Nichols: Thank you, Hanna.

Rosin: So, Noah, there is a clock running on this movie the whole time. Why did you choose that as a form of narrative propulsion?

Oppenheim: For the very simple reason that it was among the most terrifying aspects of the nuclear problem, which is to say, if someone were to ever lob one of these missiles our way, it would land very, very quickly. So, as we say in the movie, if somebody launches from the Pacific theater, you’re talking about a flight time of under 20 minutes. If a submarine—a Russian submarine, for instance—off our Atlantic coast were to launch, the estimate is 10 to 12 minutes to impact on the East Coast.

So you’re talking about something that would happen with extraordinary haste, and therefore, the people who would be responsible for responding and figuring out how to defend against it, whether or not to retaliate, they would have an incredibly short window of time to make any kind of decision or to even make sense of what was happening. And so we wanted to convey to the audience in a really visceral way—by telling the story in real time—just how short, for instance, 18 minutes is.

Rosin: Know the whole time you’ve been talking, I can feel myself sweating. All I wanna do is say, Tom, that isn’t trueright? We don’t just have 18 minutes. It’s not that short a time.

Nichols: I have bad news for you, Hanna.

Oppenheim: (Laughs.)

Nichols: And one of the things that I found striking about A House of Dynamite—in these other movies and in the Cold War environment where I grew up, you assume that you’re gonna have some long lead time up to the moment of nuclear peril. If you go back and watch the old BBC movie Threads, the movie actually begins about three months before the war breaks out, and they walk you through kind of the superpowers getting themselves into this jam.

But what’s important about this movie and about these scenarios is that it doesn’t matter how you got there—it’s always going to come down to those 18 or 20 minutes.

Rosin: Noah, I guess this is another thing the movie’s about, is this tension between man and the machine, which is also true in Kathryn Bigelow’s other movies: You have a system, you have a rule, you have a clock ticking, but then you have human beings. And that’s throughout the movie, like the deputy national security adviser fumbling with his phone while going through security. There are all these moments that are supposed to remind us—I think; you tell me—it’s actually humans making this impossible decision.

Oppenheim: Exactly. No, I think that’s spot on. I think it’s a very human impulse to try to impose order on chaos.

[Music]

Oppenheim: We build processes and procedures, and we put together big, thick binders of decision-making protocols and decision trees: If A, then B, and You call this guy; if that person’s not there, then you call this person. And we create this illusion that we have it all under control because these institutions exist, these processes exist—and not only that, but we rehearse them. The folks at STRATCOM told us they rehearse this 400 times a year, more than twice a day on average.

But at the end of the day, if it were to ever happen in real life, all of that rehearsal, all of those handbooks and processes and policies, they can never account for the human factor: the fact that, on any given day, somebody might wake up, and they could be having a terrible fight with their wife and are horribly distracted; they could have a kid with a spiking fever who needs to see a doctor. And you’re never going to be able to escape this sort of human infallibility and the fact that you’re asking human beings to confront a reality that I don’t believe any person is capable of dealing with, let alone with a clock ticking in the background.

Rosin: It’s like we know this, and yet we don’t know this—or maybe we just don’t look at it. It’s like, I kind of know, Of course, they practice it all the time, but what does that do for us in the end?

Tom, how have presidents in the past absorbed the reality of what Noah’s saying and what you guys have researched?

Nichols: Well, here’s a bright spot: The way they’ve absorbed it is not well.

Oppenheim: (Laughs.)

Rosin: (Laughs.) Thanks, Tom.

Nichols: Well, no, but they’ve reacted the way that, and this is across party and personality and generations, every president—I don’t know how Donald Trump reacted to his—but every president until now has had a nuclear briefing; they’re shown all the targets and what they would have to do. And every one of them has walked out saying, My God, what? This is crazy.

Kennedy walked out of his, and he turns to an aide, and he says—his one comment was: “And we call ourselves the human race.” JFK walked out and just thought this was absolutely appalling.

Richard Nixon, who nobody is gonna accuse of being some sort of left-wing pantywaist about foreign policy, was so appalled at the number of casualties that would be involved that he sent [Henry] Kissinger out in 1969 with a mandate to revamp the entire nuclear plan. Because he says, This is just—you can’t have this. I mean, we’re talking about millions and millions of civilian casualties.

[Ronald] Reagan, who people associate with this very muscular kind of nuclear posture, actually put off getting his nuclear briefing for almost two years because he didn’t think it was relevant. He didn’t wanna do it.

I’ll just get off this soapbox and say that the plan that was shown to Kennedy, our plan was to destroy the Soviet Union and China, just in case.

Oppenheim: (Laughs.)

Nichols: We were going to hit China and Eastern Europe, just like—it’s like that line in Aliens, right: We’re gonna nuke the site from orbit. “It’s the only way to be sure.” And we were gonna hit them all. And David Shoup, the commandant of the Marine Corps, stood up and saidThis is not the American wayThis is not a good planThis is not who we are as Americans. And that was 65 years ago.

Rosin: Wow. So everyone in that moment, when they’re faced with the reality of it, becomes a kind of pacifist.

Noah, it’s clear that a lot of research went into this movie. Was there ever a moment when you were talking to generals, people at STRATCOM, whoever you talked to, and you thought, What? This is what it is? Did you have that moment?

Oppenheim: Absolutely. We had that moment, I think, several times over. Beyond the short time frame of the decision, I think the other piece of it that is striking is this notion of sole authority: the idea that in our system, here in the United States, the president of the United States has the sole authority to determine whether these weapons are used or not.

And not only that, but these initial briefings notwithstanding that we’ve been talking about, they don’t practice this—the president doesn’t practice it—very much thereafter. So while, yes, the professionals at STRATCOM do these rehearsals 400 times a year, the president of the United States—the person who actually ultimately has the authority—once that initial briefing is over, especially when they have so often walked out so appalled in the ways that Tom has described, they don’t rehearse it at all thereafter.

And so you have a situation in which the decision rests on one person’s shoulders; that person has probably spent the least amount of time of anyone in the system thinking about this, practicing for it; and they’re being asked to make the call, with a clock ticking down minutes, while they’re simultaneously, most likely, running for their lives, being evacuated to some safe place. And so the idea that any person could function rationally in that scenario is just—it’s mind-boggling.

(Sirens blare.)

President: Reid, are you still there?

Secretary of Defense Reid Baker: Yeah, yeah, yeah, I’m here.

President: What do you make of all this?

Baker: I really don’t know.

President: You don’t know? You’re running the fucking Pentagon. I had one briefing when I was sworn in—one. And they told me that’s the protocol.

Baker: They told me the same thing.

President: Shit, I got a whole fucking briefing on what a Supreme Court justice does. Replacements. Replacements for what happens if the replacement drops out. Shit, what to do if the original guy crawls out of his grave and wants his job back.

Baker: We focused on more likely scenarios, things we might actually have to deal with.

President: Yeah, well, we’re dealing with this.

Baker: Best I can remember, we follow the steps. We’re following procedure.

Oppenheim: Having spoken to folks who’ve worked at the highest level inside the White House for a couple different presidents, the sense that they had of their bosses was that once that initial briefing was over, these are not people who were laying up awake at night contemplating, Hey, if I ever find myself in a situation where the nuclear decision handbook is placed in my lap, here’s how I would handle it. I think it is one of those crises that is—we have a tendency to just push out of our mind because it’s so difficult to comprehend, and it’s so horrifying.

Rosin: In the movie, you can tell that the president is the one improvising, compared to the people around him. You clearly made choices: You don’t mention a political party. You make the president and everyone else a rational actor. There’s a moment in the movie—people say things like, We were prepared for thisWe did everything right. Why those choices?

Oppenheim: Very simple: because we wanted, in many ways, to present the best-case scenario, right? The best-case scenario is that all the decision makers are rational actors, as you just said. They’re all well intentioned. They’re thoughtful. There’s no bloodlust at work here. These are reasonable human beings who are well trained and trying their best to do the right thing.

And even in that scenario, even when all those boxes are checked and you have the best of us sitting in those chairs, you still see how it might unfold in the movie, and you still see how unlikely a positive outcome is.

Rosin: Why, though? Why did you decide to go that route?

Oppenheim: Because once you introduce a bloodthirsty lunatic or somebody who’s clearly an idiot, then I think the audience is able to walk out and say, Well, oh, that’s the problemThe problem is just—we just have to elect the right person, or We just have to make sure our generals are more moderate in their disposition.

But, in fact, the problem is not that. The problem, at least in our minds, is the entire apparatus. It’s that we’ve built this world in which we live under existential threat from weapons of our own creation, and we have all of these systems—they’re, I think, as well designed as they can be given the circumstances, to a great extent—but whenever you have an apparatus like this, there’s always gonna be, I think, a bias towards action. Once that first domino falls, I think the amount of restraint necessary to say, Let’s all step back and do nothing, I think that requires a lot of strength, character, courage that might not be possible to summon in a moment of crisis and panic, with a clock ticking, etc.

And I think we just wanted the spotlight and the focus to be on those factors, the system, rather than giving the audience an easy villain to blame, like, Oh, the problem was that president who was drunk when this happened, and that’s why we have a problem. No, it’s not that. It’s even with the best person in the job we still have a problem.

Rosin:. Now, Tom, that’s not our current reality, exactly. The editor in chief of The Atlantic has written about our current president as being reactive, easily insulted, and having a lot of qualities that could cause problems in this specific scenario. How do you think about that?

Nichols: Uneasily.

Rosin: Mm.

Nichols: There’s a really important point in all this, which is that the system is designed to work this way, to enable the president to go to war, to make things happen fast. It’s not a bug; it’s a feature. And so that means that the people who have to be involved with this really need to be the most steady hands in the world.

[Music]

Nichols: What Noah wrote, and what’s on the screen in A House of Dynamite, is: Here’s this system, with all of its gears in motion, that will take even the most reasonable people and drag them along this road to disaster.

Rosin: Right.

Nichols: What happens if they’re not reasonable people and they decide not just to be dragged along that road, but to jump in their car and floor the accelerator?

And that really worries me a lot because I have a real concern that it’s not just this administration; it’s an entire generation. I just don’t think people take this threat as seriously as they should and as they once did. When that seeps into a culture and a political structure, you will have people talking about things and thinking things are options that are not really options.

Rosin: After the break, how the absurd situation that is the nuclear house of dynamite came to be.

[Break]

Rosin: In A House of Dynamite, a nuclear missile is heading for a U.S. city, and there is no way to stop that—no off-ramp, no emergency brake. There’s only the next action, the next decision, and on and on, until the unimaginable becomes reality.

Captain Olivia Walker: Get Liam, get in the car, and just start driving, all right?

Olivia Walker’s husband: What? Where? What are you talking about?

Walker: West—go west; go west as fast as you can. Get away from any urban centers you can get, okay? Listen to me—

Walker’s husband: Liv, what the fuck? What’s going on there?

Walker: I’ll call you. I love you. I love you. Can you kiss Liam for me? Just kiss him. Bye, bye, bye.

Rosin: This propulsion towards action is maybe the most intense aspect of the movie. The president could decide to do nothing, but the movie makes it feel as if the momentum is running in the other direction. I ask Noah about that.

Oppenheim: When this system was being designed, one of the concerns was, if the Soviets launched on us, could they destroy our arsenal while it was already on the ground or before we had an ability to initiate a counterattack?

And so the idea was, in order to win a nuclear war, which we now—at least those of us talking right now—believe is a preposterous notion, but if you were trying to win a nuclear war, you needed to make sure that you could initiate your counterstrike very quickly, before your command and control centers and your arsenal were destroyed by the enemy. So the system is designed for speed and to make it as easy as possible, on some level, for retaliation to take place.

Nichols: Can we add one thing to this, which is it’s not, at least back in the day, the ’60s and ’70s and even the ’80s, it wasn’t entirely crazy to say—leave aside winning a nuclear war; if you were trying to avert a nuclear war, you wanted to tell your opponent, Look, there is no way that you can strike us first, decapitate us, or, eliminate everything. We are going to respond. In the business, it’s called a “secure second-strike capability.” And part of that is to have a president who doesn’t have to say, Well, before I respond, I have to call a meeting with CongressBefore I respond, I have to get at least three-fifths of the Cabinet.

We did this in a different time and under a different circumstance, to say to the old men in the Kremlin: Listen, if we see this stuff coming at us, one guy is gonna make the decision, and he’s gonna make it fast, and there is no way you are going to escape retaliation. In a grisly deterrent sense, that made sense 40 years ago. It doesn’t make sense now.

Rosin: Because?

Nichols: Because we’re not facing the same threat of a massive, disarming, overwhelming first strike. And even if we were struck first, we have bombers, and submarines underwater that have enough firepower to destroy most of Russia or China with one submerged submarine.

Remember, back in these days, you’re talking about two countries that were pointing a total of something like 30,000 nuclear weapons at each other. By treaty, the United States and Russia now deploy 1,500 strategic nuclear weapons—which, listen, that’s bad, and it’s the end of the world, but it’s not the same thing where we were expecting an incoming armada of three or four thousand warheads that were meant to just catch us on the ground with no time for decisions. So we did this kind of centralized-command thing for a lot of reasons, and one of them was to kind of spook the Soviets, to say, If you attack us, you are not going to trigger a committee meeting.

Rosin: Right. It’s to make the threat real—

Nichols: Exactly.

Rosin: —but then isn’t it the whole idea of mutually assured destruction that doesn’t make any sense? It’s a system that has a huge amount of drama and momentum, but you depend on it being stalled. It’s like if you had a shootout and then everybody was frozen in time forever, and we depended on that. It’s a strange idea.

Oppenheim: It’s precisely that, and that is what the movie is predicated on, is the idea that we’re all standing around with these weapons pointed at each other, frozen in time, and all it will take is one person in that circle pulling the trigger and firing one proverbial bullet, and then all hell breaks loose.

[Music]

Rosin: Okay, I’m getting sweaty again, so a couple of fact-check questions. (Laughs.) And either of you can answer them.

Here’s two of ’em: The movie opens at Fort Greely. The ICBM is first identified, but they have no information about it—no lead-up, no ratcheting up of tensions, no enemy owns up to launching it. For all they know, it could be an accident. How realistic is that scenario, where you know nothing and you have no lead-up?

Oppenheim: Right, so I think—several things. One is just, philosophically, one of the things that I have noticed—and I could be wrong—over the last 25, 30 years of being an observer of world events from the perch of a journalist is that how often these kind of world-altering events do come out of the blue, right?

I mean, you think about something like 9/11. Now, yes, you could say 9/11 was predictable to anyone who was following the rise of Islamic fundamentalism. But during the summer of that year, it wasn’t like the United States government—we now know they should have been more aware of the signals—but it did feel like an out-of-the-blue world event that was changing the course of human history.

So that, just philosophically, I would say.

In terms of a launch from a submarine, all the conversations I had with experts, I think everyone said to me that that’s the tricky thing about a sub-based launch, is that it’s harder to attribute responsibility.

We do have a pretty effective system of sensors that would likely pinpoint the location of it—in our movie, we play with the idea that one of these mechanisms failed, so it makes it even more ambiguous. But I would argue that, it turns out, our satellite infrastructure is perhaps the most susceptible part of our digital infrastructure to hacking and to cyber interference, so it felt like that was a reasonable liberty to take.

But even if those satellites work and everything functions exactly right, if you’re talking about a sea-based launch, you still don’t know whose sub it was.

Nichols: We don’t have to hypothesize about this. In 1995, the Norwegians launched a weather satellite, and they had told the Russians, We’re firing a rocket into spaceWe’re gonna launch a weather satellite. And some—as John F. Kennedy said during the Cuban missile crisis, “There’s always some son of a bitch who doesn’t get the word”—and in this case, it was the Russian high command, and they brought Boris Yeltsin the Russian nuclear football.

And they said, We have what looks like an incoming single missile launched from a NATO country, and we don’t know why. And Yeltsin basically said, Ah, this doesn’t look—Bill Clinton and I are friends. There’s been no tensions. Nothing’s going on. I don’t think this is what it is. And thank goodness, crisis was averted, but it was one missile being launched, and the Russians got their hair on fire about it.

Rosin: Right, right, so reasonably realistic. Second fact-check involves shooting the missile down. What I have in my head is Iron Dome; it always works.

Oppenheim: Yeah.

Rosin: But the deputy national security adviser in the movie says, No, it’s not like thatThe capability we have to shoot down an ICBM is not nearly that reliable. He puts the chances of success at 61 percent and says it’s like shooting a bullet with a bullet. Is that all true?

Oppenheim: It is true, and I think Tom can probably speak to the technical reasons even better than I can. But there’s a big difference between the kinds of missiles that Iron Dome is shooting down in Israel versus shooting an ICBM down that’s coming from the other side of the world.

And we say in the movie 61 percent—that’s based on data from controlled tests. So, you can imagine, those are under the best of circumstances. A lot of the folks we talked to felt that 61 percent was being very generous when it comes to the system that we have. As we mention in the movie, there are fewer than 50 of these ground-based intercepts in our arsenal, so even if it were working perfectly, there are not a ton of them that we have available to use.

I think it’s always been this false comfort that we could build [an] impenetrable dome over ourselves that would somehow solve this problem. And it turns out, perhaps not surprisingly, that knocking one of these ICBMs out of the sky is a really, really hard physics problem that nobody has quite cracked yet.

Nichols: I was one of the people that said 61 percent is very generous. That’s basically the Pentagon’s number, and that’s done under these super-controlled, you know, We know when the test missile is gonna be firedWe know where it’s going. We’re gonna shoot at it. Now, imagine that—I mean, those are not battle conditions. And so this notion that, somehow, an enemy who is specifically trying to get past our defenses, that we’d have at least a 60 percent chance, I think, is irresponsible.

And to your point about Iron Dome, Hanna, Iron Dome is meant to shoot down things that are low and slow: rockets. They’re relative—I mean, I know it seems crazy to say, Well, a slow rocket, but compared to an ICBM. When an ICBM’s warhead reenters the atmosphere and it’s coming down, it’s coming down at, like, 25 times the speed of sound.

And so this notion that we’re gonna shoot these things down—an enemy who is dedicated to doing this and launches two or three or five of these things is probably also gonna launch dummy warheads, chaff, other things that are meant to blind the sensors or confuse them. So the notion that you’re gonna put this bubble over the country, I don’t think even back in the ’80s anybody really believed that was possible, and it’s certainly not possible now. And I think very few decision makers are really, in the moment of crisis, going to rely on it if they have an option not to.

Rosin: So you’ve both mentioned this idea that this movie is reminding us of something that we’ve somewhat put in the background, but which is very real right now.

Tom, what is the state of nuclear proliferation? Are we in the middle of a new kind of nuclear-arms race? What’s happening in Asia? Can you just lay that out for us?

Nichols: Yeah, it’s a lopsided proliferation. The United States, even Russia to some extent, the U.K., France, we’ve been reducing nuclear weapons. I mean, if you had said to me in, like, the mid-1980s, when I was studying this—I was a grad student; I was writing about this stuff—saying, Hey, we’re gonna go from 20,000 weapons to 1,500, I would’ve said, You’re completely high. That this is never gonna happen this way. And it’s really a miracle that we got there.

The problem is that now the Chinese, the Pakistanis, the Indians, they are moving to catch up because they have their own concerns, and they have their own enemies in the world. Now, these are smaller weapons. They’re not ICBMs; they’re not intercontinental. Obviously, Pakistan and India and China keep arsenals for their own neighborhood. But it’s a proliferation problem that isn’t evenly spread out among all the nuclear powers.

And I’ll just remind people that there used to be 10 nuclear powers, and if you wanna sleep well at night, remember that the white apartheid South African regime actually built six nuclear weapons and managed to hide them from the world in the 1980s.

This is not, any longer, an exotic technology—I mean, the first nuclear bombs were made when airplanes had propellers and TVs had tubes in them—so it’s not that hard a technology to get.

Rosin: And, Noah, is this what you had in mind when you talked about the urgency of this movie? What do you want people to be thinking about as they leave the theater? It’s not a documentary, but what should we be thinking about?

Oppenheim: I think we wanted to invite a conversation. I recognize that there are so many dangers in the world right now; it’s hard to keep them all in mind at any one time. But this is one that has drifted out of focus, I think, for far too long. And it is a problem of our own making—we created these weapons—so I think, I’d like to believe, that means we can also solve the problem if we’ve created it. As Tom mentions, there is historical precedence for making progress; it’s not impossible—we’ve dramatically reduced the number of them in the world.

So there are paths towards possible solutions, and it just feels like one of those subjects that is far too easy to ignore, but we ignored at our own collective peril. And we shouldn’t leave the conversation entirely to that tiny community of nuclear wonks, who are incredibly thoughtful and have devoted their lives to thinking about this and probably understand the threat better than anyone—I wouldn’t wanna suggest in any way that they’re indifferent or callous. One of the things that we found in putting the movie together and doing the research was how eager the people in that world are to share their stories and their concerns with the broader public. I think they invite more people’s voices in the conversation.

Rosin: Tom, do you have anything to say about the path back from this lopsided buildup that you talked about?

Nichols: Well, I think—one of the things that I hope gets us on that path is people taking this more seriously.

When you’re electing a president of the United States, I think people have kind of let it drift away that, yeah, you’re voting because of the economy and the price of eggs, and you’re mad about political correctness or whatever it is, but in the end, you are still picking someone to hold a little card about the size of a playing card in his pocket all day that gives him the sole authority to launch nuclear weapons.

And people, I don’t think, are voting thinking about that anymore. And we used to—I mean, during the Cold War, there was always the question of Whose finger do you want on the button? People worried about that. But I think that, somehow, they’ve lost that sense of seriousness about it because this, to them, it’s kind of yesterday’s problem.

I also think we are not powerless here. We can do this. We can back things up. Ronald Reagan and Mikhail Gorbachev eliminated an entire class of weapons that, right now, the Trump administration is trying to put back in Europe. But they actually managed to make the world a lot safer by simply saying, We’re gonna take all these weapons, and we’re gonna scrap ’emWe’re gonna literally crush them and throw them away.

It’s possible to do that, but first, the public has to take seriously that this is a real danger—it can really happen—and that real human beings have this responsibility.

Rosin: Well, Tom, thank you for laying that out for us, and, Noah, thank you so much for joining us today.

Nichols: Thank you so much for having me. I really appreciate it.

Oppenheim: Thank you.

[Music]

Rosin: This episode of Radio Atlantic was produced by Rosie Hughes. It was edited by Claudine Ebeid and fact-checked by Sara Krolewski. Rob Smierciak engineered this episode and provided original music. Claudine Ebeid is the executive producer of Atlantic audio, and Andrea Valdez is our managing editor.

Listeners, if you like what you hear on Radio Atlantic, you can support our work and the work of all Atlantic journalists when you subscribe to The Atlantic at TheAtlantic.com/listener.

I’m Hanna Rosin. Thanks for listening.

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Hanna Rosin

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Hanna Rosin is a senior editor at The Atlantic and the host of Radio Atlantic.


TODAY’S NUCLEAR WORLD NEWS, Thursday, (10/23/2025)

About Today’s Nuclear News and How it Works:

There are 7 categories, including a bonus non-nuclear category for news about the Yellowstone caldera and other volcano and caldera activity around the world that also play an important role in the survival of human and other life.

The feature categories provide articles and information about ‘all things nuclear’ for you to pick from, usually with up to 3 links with headlines concerning the most important media stories in each category, but sometimes fewer and occasionally even none (especially so with the Yellowstone Caldera). If there was no news from a Category today, the Category will not appear. The Categories are listed below in their usual order:

  1. All Things Nuclear
  2. Nuclear Power
  3. Nuclear Power Emergencies
  4. Nuclear War Threats
  5. Nuclear War
  6. Yellowstone Caldera
  7. IAEA News (Friday’s only)

A current Digest of major nuclear media headlines with automated links is listed below by nuclear Category (in the above listed order). If a Category heading does not appear in the daily news Digest, it means there was no news reported from this Category today. Generally, the three best articles in each Category from around the nuclear world(s) are Posted. Occasionally, if a Post is important enough, it may be listed in multiple Categories.

Today’s Nuclear World News

All Things Nuclear

NEWS

Putin directs Russian nuclear forces drills as summit with Trump is on hold | PBS News

PBS

The Kremlin said that as part of the maneuvers involving all parts of Moscow’s nuclear … Read Oct 21 9 things to know about the $250 million …

How China Raced Ahead of the U.S. on Nuclear Power – The New York Times

The New York Times

Worries about the disposal of nuclear waste and fears after the … “China is practiced at building really big things, everything from dams …

TVA nominees promise to support advanced reactor development

American Nuclear Society

Nuclear support: All four nominees said that they would back nuclear … “I think that is one of the things I’m most excited about being on …

Nuclear Power

NEWS

US to announce recipients of plutonium for reactors by year-end – Reuters

Reuters

Timothy reports on energy and environment policy and is based in Washington, D.C. His coverage ranges from the latest in nuclear power, to environment …

The Natrium® Project Receives First NRC-Issued Environmental Impact Statement … – TerraPower

TerraPower

This is the first advanced commercial nuclear power plant to achieve this regulatory milestone. “TerraPower has been committed to bringing the next …

Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant reconnected to external power from Ukraine – The Guardian

The Guardian

Prior to its reconnection, the nuclear power plant had been relying on backup diesel generators to supply electricity necessary for cooling for a …

Nuclear Power Emergencies

NEWS

Worker Falls Into Nuclear Reactor, Drinks a Little “Cavity Water” – Futurism

Futurism

After tumbling an unknown distance into the nuclear cavity, the unnamed contractor was quickly decontaminated and sent to seek emergency medical care …

Update 323 – IAEA Director General Statement on Situation in Ukraine – ReliefWeb

ReliefWeb

The restoration of off-site power to Europe’s largest nuclear power plant … Over the past month, the plant has relied on emergency diesel generators …

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Discussion about this post

LLAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY, #1084, Thursday, (10/23/2025)

“End Nuclear Insanity Before Nuclear Insanity Ends Humanity.” ~llaw

Lloyd A. Williams-Pendergraft

Oct 23, 2025

Today’s Image . . .

A still from the movie "A House of Dynamite"

LLAW’s All Things Nuclear Concerns: What’s New and Important in the Nuclear World and What to do About It!

I recommend this movie — A House of Dynamite — which is available on “Netflix” beginning tomorrow as a primer for what a nuclear war would likely be like. The article/discussion presented here is much better in my opinion than the negative review and sub-par “Variety” Post I recently made about the film A House of Dynamite, on LLAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY, #1080, Sunday, (10/19/2025) in case you want to compare notes . . . ~llaw

Today’s Feature Story from LLAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY is from category. . .

Nuclear War

NEWS

This Movie Makes Nuclear War Feel Disturbingly Possible

An interview with the A House of Dynamite screenwriter Noah Oppenheim and Tom Nichols

By Hanna Rosin

A still from the movie "A House of Dynamite"
Netflix

October 23, 2025, 7 AM ET

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In Kathryn Bigelow’s new movie, A House of Dynamite, the clock is ticking. The film’s fictional president of the United States has less than 20 minutes and very little information to decide whether or not to retaliate against a nuclear missile, launched at the United States, from an unknown source. The story is, of course, fiction, but as with Bigelow’s other war movies, it feels disturbingly plausible. During the Cold War, the likely scenario was a war with the Soviet Union. Now there are nine nuclear powers, which makes the possibility of error, rogue actors, or a total information vacuum more likely. And the arms race is only heating up.

Bigelow and screenwriter Noah Oppenheim make some deliberate choices in the movie, which is out in select theaters and arriving on Netflix this Friday. The president is a rational—even affable—character. The military personnel follow all the correct protocol. The general in charge is reliable and unruffled. “We did everything right, right?” one of the officers asks his colleagues. The answer the movie provides is yes, but that doesn’t change the underlying insanity of the situation: The house of dynamite we’ve built could explode in a matter of minutes and wipe out cities’ worth of people.

In this episode we talk to Oppenheim about why he and Bigelow structured the movie the way they did and why they focused on nuclear war now. And we talk to Tom Nichols, a national-security writer at the Atlantic, about the realities of nuclear proliferation at this moment, and how a nuclear scenario might unfold with a president driven by very different motivations from the film’s fictional creation.

The following is a transcript of the episode:

[Music]

Hanna Rosin: The new movie A House of Dynamite, directed by Kathryn Bigelow, begins with some banal chatting between two military personnel at a base office. Like it could be an SNL skit about your corny, annoying colleague. And then all of a sudden the movie takes a sharp turn.

The office is Fort Greely, a U.S. missile-defense site in Alaska. And the military personnel there notice that this ICBM they’ve been tracking on their screens? Its arc is flattening. In fact, it’s headed straight towards the U.S., and they have no idea who launched it.

The missile has about 20 minutes until it hits a major American city. And they have just one chance to shoot it down.

Female military officer (from A House of Dynamite): Three … two … one …

(Phone rings.)

Male military officer one: Confirm impact. Confirm impact!

Male military officer two: Standby. Standby confirm.

Rosin: The movie maintains this level of intensity the whole way through. It’s definitely funny at moments, cleverly constructed, but it’s so realistic, so obviously relevant to the world we live in, that it’s very hard to relax while watching it.

I’m Hanna Rosin. This is Radio AtlanticA House of Dynamite forces us to live inside a reality that’s mostly too big and too awful to contemplate.

But the thing is, the threat of nuclear war hasn’t gone away. In the decades since the Cold War, it’s just evolved. Instead of a Soviet Union, there are now nine nuclear powers, which makes the situation more volatile, less predictable.

The movie just reminds us of this reality, that we are all still living in a house of dynamite that could explode at any moment and easily get out of our control.

President of the United States: This is insanity, okay?

General Anthony Brady: No, sir, this is reality.

Male voice: Six minutes to impact.

Noah Oppenheim wrote A House of Dynamite, and staff writer Tom Nichols, who covers national security, consulted on the film. I’m talking to them about the making of the movie and how close it is to reality.

Noah, welcome to the show.

Noah Oppenheim: Thank you.

Rosin: Tom, welcome.

Tom Nichols: Thank you, Hanna.

Rosin: So, Noah, there is a clock running on this movie the whole time. Why did you choose that as a form of narrative propulsion?

Oppenheim: For the very simple reason that it was among the most terrifying aspects of the nuclear problem, which is to say, if someone were to ever lob one of these missiles our way, it would land very, very quickly. So, as we say in the movie, if somebody launches from the Pacific theater, you’re talking about a flight time of under 20 minutes. If a submarine—a Russian submarine, for instance—off our Atlantic coast were to launch, the estimate is 10 to 12 minutes to impact on the East Coast.

So you’re talking about something that would happen with extraordinary haste, and therefore, the people who would be responsible for responding and figuring out how to defend against it, whether or not to retaliate, they would have an incredibly short window of time to make any kind of decision or to even make sense of what was happening. And so we wanted to convey to the audience in a really visceral way—by telling the story in real time—just how short, for instance, 18 minutes is.

Rosin: Know the whole time you’ve been talking, I can feel myself sweating. All I wanna do is say, Tom, that isn’t trueright? We don’t just have 18 minutes. It’s not that short a time.

Nichols: I have bad news for you, Hanna.

Oppenheim: (Laughs.)

Nichols: And one of the things that I found striking about A House of Dynamite—in these other movies and in the Cold War environment where I grew up, you assume that you’re gonna have some long lead time up to the moment of nuclear peril. If you go back and watch the old BBC movie Threads, the movie actually begins about three months before the war breaks out, and they walk you through kind of the superpowers getting themselves into this jam.

But what’s important about this movie and about these scenarios is that it doesn’t matter how you got there—it’s always going to come down to those 18 or 20 minutes.

Rosin: Noah, I guess this is another thing the movie’s about, is this tension between man and the machine, which is also true in Kathryn Bigelow’s other movies: You have a system, you have a rule, you have a clock ticking, but then you have human beings. And that’s throughout the movie, like the deputy national security adviser fumbling with his phone while going through security. There are all these moments that are supposed to remind us—I think; you tell me—it’s actually humans making this impossible decision.

Oppenheim: Exactly. No, I think that’s spot on. I think it’s a very human impulse to try to impose order on chaos.

[Music]

Oppenheim: We build processes and procedures, and we put together big, thick binders of decision-making protocols and decision trees: If A, then B, and You call this guy; if that person’s not there, then you call this person. And we create this illusion that we have it all under control because these institutions exist, these processes exist—and not only that, but we rehearse them. The folks at STRATCOM told us they rehearse this 400 times a year, more than twice a day on average.

But at the end of the day, if it were to ever happen in real life, all of that rehearsal, all of those handbooks and processes and policies, they can never account for the human factor: the fact that, on any given day, somebody might wake up, and they could be having a terrible fight with their wife and are horribly distracted; they could have a kid with a spiking fever who needs to see a doctor. And you’re never going to be able to escape this sort of human infallibility and the fact that you’re asking human beings to confront a reality that I don’t believe any person is capable of dealing with, let alone with a clock ticking in the background.

Rosin: It’s like we know this, and yet we don’t know this—or maybe we just don’t look at it. It’s like, I kind of know, Of course, they practice it all the time, but what does that do for us in the end?

Tom, how have presidents in the past absorbed the reality of what Noah’s saying and what you guys have researched?

Nichols: Well, here’s a bright spot: The way they’ve absorbed it is not well.

Oppenheim: (Laughs.)

Rosin: (Laughs.) Thanks, Tom.

Nichols: Well, no, but they’ve reacted the way that, and this is across party and personality and generations, every president—I don’t know how Donald Trump reacted to his—but every president until now has had a nuclear briefing; they’re shown all the targets and what they would have to do. And every one of them has walked out saying, My God, what? This is crazy.

Kennedy walked out of his, and he turns to an aide, and he says—his one comment was: “And we call ourselves the human race.” JFK walked out and just thought this was absolutely appalling.

Richard Nixon, who nobody is gonna accuse of being some sort of left-wing pantywaist about foreign policy, was so appalled at the number of casualties that would be involved that he sent [Henry] Kissinger out in 1969 with a mandate to revamp the entire nuclear plan. Because he says, This is just—you can’t have this. I mean, we’re talking about millions and millions of civilian casualties.

[Ronald] Reagan, who people associate with this very muscular kind of nuclear posture, actually put off getting his nuclear briefing for almost two years because he didn’t think it was relevant. He didn’t wanna do it.

I’ll just get off this soapbox and say that the plan that was shown to Kennedy, our plan was to destroy the Soviet Union and China, just in case.

Oppenheim: (Laughs.)

Nichols: We were going to hit China and Eastern Europe, just like—it’s like that line in Aliens, right: We’re gonna nuke the site from orbit. “It’s the only way to be sure.” And we were gonna hit them all. And David Shoup, the commandant of the Marine Corps, stood up and saidThis is not the American wayThis is not a good planThis is not who we are as Americans. And that was 65 years ago.

Rosin: Wow. So everyone in that moment, when they’re faced with the reality of it, becomes a kind of pacifist.

Noah, it’s clear that a lot of research went into this movie. Was there ever a moment when you were talking to generals, people at STRATCOM, whoever you talked to, and you thought, What? This is what it is? Did you have that moment?

Oppenheim: Absolutely. We had that moment, I think, several times over. Beyond the short time frame of the decision, I think the other piece of it that is striking is this notion of sole authority: the idea that in our system, here in the United States, the president of the United States has the sole authority to determine whether these weapons are used or not.

And not only that, but these initial briefings notwithstanding that we’ve been talking about, they don’t practice this—the president doesn’t practice it—very much thereafter. So while, yes, the professionals at STRATCOM do these rehearsals 400 times a year, the president of the United States—the person who actually ultimately has the authority—once that initial briefing is over, especially when they have so often walked out so appalled in the ways that Tom has described, they don’t rehearse it at all thereafter.

And so you have a situation in which the decision rests on one person’s shoulders; that person has probably spent the least amount of time of anyone in the system thinking about this, practicing for it; and they’re being asked to make the call, with a clock ticking down minutes, while they’re simultaneously, most likely, running for their lives, being evacuated to some safe place. And so the idea that any person could function rationally in that scenario is just—it’s mind-boggling.

(Sirens blare.)

President: Reid, are you still there?

Secretary of Defense Reid Baker: Yeah, yeah, yeah, I’m here.

President: What do you make of all this?

Baker: I really don’t know.

President: You don’t know? You’re running the fucking Pentagon. I had one briefing when I was sworn in—one. And they told me that’s the protocol.

Baker: They told me the same thing.

President: Shit, I got a whole fucking briefing on what a Supreme Court justice does. Replacements. Replacements for what happens if the replacement drops out. Shit, what to do if the original guy crawls out of his grave and wants his job back.

Baker: We focused on more likely scenarios, things we might actually have to deal with.

President: Yeah, well, we’re dealing with this.

Baker: Best I can remember, we follow the steps. We’re following procedure.

Oppenheim: Having spoken to folks who’ve worked at the highest level inside the White House for a couple different presidents, the sense that they had of their bosses was that once that initial briefing was over, these are not people who were laying up awake at night contemplating, Hey, if I ever find myself in a situation where the nuclear decision handbook is placed in my lap, here’s how I would handle it. I think it is one of those crises that is—we have a tendency to just push out of our mind because it’s so difficult to comprehend, and it’s so horrifying.

Rosin: In the movie, you can tell that the president is the one improvising, compared to the people around him. You clearly made choices: You don’t mention a political party. You make the president and everyone else a rational actor. There’s a moment in the movie—people say things like, We were prepared for thisWe did everything right. Why those choices?

Oppenheim: Very simple: because we wanted, in many ways, to present the best-case scenario, right? The best-case scenario is that all the decision makers are rational actors, as you just said. They’re all well intentioned. They’re thoughtful. There’s no bloodlust at work here. These are reasonable human beings who are well trained and trying their best to do the right thing.

And even in that scenario, even when all those boxes are checked and you have the best of us sitting in those chairs, you still see how it might unfold in the movie, and you still see how unlikely a positive outcome is.

Rosin: Why, though? Why did you decide to go that route?

Oppenheim: Because once you introduce a bloodthirsty lunatic or somebody who’s clearly an idiot, then I think the audience is able to walk out and say, Well, oh, that’s the problemThe problem is just—we just have to elect the right person, or We just have to make sure our generals are more moderate in their disposition.

But, in fact, the problem is not that. The problem, at least in our minds, is the entire apparatus. It’s that we’ve built this world in which we live under existential threat from weapons of our own creation, and we have all of these systems—they’re, I think, as well designed as they can be given the circumstances, to a great extent—but whenever you have an apparatus like this, there’s always gonna be, I think, a bias towards action. Once that first domino falls, I think the amount of restraint necessary to say, Let’s all step back and do nothing, I think that requires a lot of strength, character, courage that might not be possible to summon in a moment of crisis and panic, with a clock ticking, etc.

And I think we just wanted the spotlight and the focus to be on those factors, the system, rather than giving the audience an easy villain to blame, like, Oh, the problem was that president who was drunk when this happened, and that’s why we have a problem. No, it’s not that. It’s even with the best person in the job we still have a problem.

Rosin:. Now, Tom, that’s not our current reality, exactly. The editor in chief of The Atlantic has written about our current president as being reactive, easily insulted, and having a lot of qualities that could cause problems in this specific scenario. How do you think about that?

Nichols: Uneasily.

Rosin: Mm.

Nichols: There’s a really important point in all this, which is that the system is designed to work this way, to enable the president to go to war, to make things happen fast. It’s not a bug; it’s a feature. And so that means that the people who have to be involved with this really need to be the most steady hands in the world.

[Music]

Nichols: What Noah wrote, and what’s on the screen in A House of Dynamite, is: Here’s this system, with all of its gears in motion, that will take even the most reasonable people and drag them along this road to disaster.

Rosin: Right.

Nichols: What happens if they’re not reasonable people and they decide not just to be dragged along that road, but to jump in their car and floor the accelerator?

And that really worries me a lot because I have a real concern that it’s not just this administration; it’s an entire generation. I just don’t think people take this threat as seriously as they should and as they once did. When that seeps into a culture and a political structure, you will have people talking about things and thinking things are options that are not really options.

Rosin: After the break, how the absurd situation that is the nuclear house of dynamite came to be.

[Break]

Rosin: In A House of Dynamite, a nuclear missile is heading for a U.S. city, and there is no way to stop that—no off-ramp, no emergency brake. There’s only the next action, the next decision, and on and on, until the unimaginable becomes reality.

Captain Olivia Walker: Get Liam, get in the car, and just start driving, all right?

Olivia Walker’s husband: What? Where? What are you talking about?

Walker: West—go west; go west as fast as you can. Get away from any urban centers you can get, okay? Listen to me—

Walker’s husband: Liv, what the fuck? What’s going on there?

Walker: I’ll call you. I love you. I love you. Can you kiss Liam for me? Just kiss him. Bye, bye, bye.

Rosin: This propulsion towards action is maybe the most intense aspect of the movie. The president could decide to do nothing, but the movie makes it feel as if the momentum is running in the other direction. I ask Noah about that.

Oppenheim: When this system was being designed, one of the concerns was, if the Soviets launched on us, could they destroy our arsenal while it was already on the ground or before we had an ability to initiate a counterattack?

And so the idea was, in order to win a nuclear war, which we now—at least those of us talking right now—believe is a preposterous notion, but if you were trying to win a nuclear war, you needed to make sure that you could initiate your counterstrike very quickly, before your command and control centers and your arsenal were destroyed by the enemy. So the system is designed for speed and to make it as easy as possible, on some level, for retaliation to take place.

Nichols: Can we add one thing to this, which is it’s not, at least back in the day, the ’60s and ’70s and even the ’80s, it wasn’t entirely crazy to say—leave aside winning a nuclear war; if you were trying to avert a nuclear war, you wanted to tell your opponent, Look, there is no way that you can strike us first, decapitate us, or, eliminate everything. We are going to respond. In the business, it’s called a “secure second-strike capability.” And part of that is to have a president who doesn’t have to say, Well, before I respond, I have to call a meeting with CongressBefore I respond, I have to get at least three-fifths of the Cabinet.

We did this in a different time and under a different circumstance, to say to the old men in the Kremlin: Listen, if we see this stuff coming at us, one guy is gonna make the decision, and he’s gonna make it fast, and there is no way you are going to escape retaliation. In a grisly deterrent sense, that made sense 40 years ago. It doesn’t make sense now.

Rosin: Because?

Nichols: Because we’re not facing the same threat of a massive, disarming, overwhelming first strike. And even if we were struck first, we have bombers, and submarines underwater that have enough firepower to destroy most of Russia or China with one submerged submarine.

Remember, back in these days, you’re talking about two countries that were pointing a total of something like 30,000 nuclear weapons at each other. By treaty, the United States and Russia now deploy 1,500 strategic nuclear weapons—which, listen, that’s bad, and it’s the end of the world, but it’s not the same thing where we were expecting an incoming armada of three or four thousand warheads that were meant to just catch us on the ground with no time for decisions. So we did this kind of centralized-command thing for a lot of reasons, and one of them was to kind of spook the Soviets, to say, If you attack us, you are not going to trigger a committee meeting.

Rosin: Right. It’s to make the threat real—

Nichols: Exactly.

Rosin: —but then isn’t it the whole idea of mutually assured destruction that doesn’t make any sense? It’s a system that has a huge amount of drama and momentum, but you depend on it being stalled. It’s like if you had a shootout and then everybody was frozen in time forever, and we depended on that. It’s a strange idea.

Oppenheim: It’s precisely that, and that is what the movie is predicated on, is the idea that we’re all standing around with these weapons pointed at each other, frozen in time, and all it will take is one person in that circle pulling the trigger and firing one proverbial bullet, and then all hell breaks loose.

[Music]

Rosin: Okay, I’m getting sweaty again, so a couple of fact-check questions. (Laughs.) And either of you can answer them.

Here’s two of ’em: The movie opens at Fort Greely. The ICBM is first identified, but they have no information about it—no lead-up, no ratcheting up of tensions, no enemy owns up to launching it. For all they know, it could be an accident. How realistic is that scenario, where you know nothing and you have no lead-up?

Oppenheim: Right, so I think—several things. One is just, philosophically, one of the things that I have noticed—and I could be wrong—over the last 25, 30 years of being an observer of world events from the perch of a journalist is that how often these kind of world-altering events do come out of the blue, right?

I mean, you think about something like 9/11. Now, yes, you could say 9/11 was predictable to anyone who was following the rise of Islamic fundamentalism. But during the summer of that year, it wasn’t like the United States government—we now know they should have been more aware of the signals—but it did feel like an out-of-the-blue world event that was changing the course of human history.

So that, just philosophically, I would say.

In terms of a launch from a submarine, all the conversations I had with experts, I think everyone said to me that that’s the tricky thing about a sub-based launch, is that it’s harder to attribute responsibility.

We do have a pretty effective system of sensors that would likely pinpoint the location of it—in our movie, we play with the idea that one of these mechanisms failed, so it makes it even more ambiguous. But I would argue that, it turns out, our satellite infrastructure is perhaps the most susceptible part of our digital infrastructure to hacking and to cyber interference, so it felt like that was a reasonable liberty to take.

But even if those satellites work and everything functions exactly right, if you’re talking about a sea-based launch, you still don’t know whose sub it was.

Nichols: We don’t have to hypothesize about this. In 1995, the Norwegians launched a weather satellite, and they had told the Russians, We’re firing a rocket into spaceWe’re gonna launch a weather satellite. And some—as John F. Kennedy said during the Cuban missile crisis, “There’s always some son of a bitch who doesn’t get the word”—and in this case, it was the Russian high command, and they brought Boris Yeltsin the Russian nuclear football.

And they said, We have what looks like an incoming single missile launched from a NATO country, and we don’t know why. And Yeltsin basically said, Ah, this doesn’t look—Bill Clinton and I are friends. There’s been no tensions. Nothing’s going on. I don’t think this is what it is. And thank goodness, crisis was averted, but it was one missile being launched, and the Russians got their hair on fire about it.

Rosin: Right, right, so reasonably realistic. Second fact-check involves shooting the missile down. What I have in my head is Iron Dome; it always works.

Oppenheim: Yeah.

Rosin: But the deputy national security adviser in the movie says, No, it’s not like thatThe capability we have to shoot down an ICBM is not nearly that reliable. He puts the chances of success at 61 percent and says it’s like shooting a bullet with a bullet. Is that all true?

Oppenheim: It is true, and I think Tom can probably speak to the technical reasons even better than I can. But there’s a big difference between the kinds of missiles that Iron Dome is shooting down in Israel versus shooting an ICBM down that’s coming from the other side of the world.

And we say in the movie 61 percent—that’s based on data from controlled tests. So, you can imagine, those are under the best of circumstances. A lot of the folks we talked to felt that 61 percent was being very generous when it comes to the system that we have. As we mention in the movie, there are fewer than 50 of these ground-based intercepts in our arsenal, so even if it were working perfectly, there are not a ton of them that we have available to use.

I think it’s always been this false comfort that we could build [an] impenetrable dome over ourselves that would somehow solve this problem. And it turns out, perhaps not surprisingly, that knocking one of these ICBMs out of the sky is a really, really hard physics problem that nobody has quite cracked yet.

Nichols: I was one of the people that said 61 percent is very generous. That’s basically the Pentagon’s number, and that’s done under these super-controlled, you know, We know when the test missile is gonna be firedWe know where it’s going. We’re gonna shoot at it. Now, imagine that—I mean, those are not battle conditions. And so this notion that, somehow, an enemy who is specifically trying to get past our defenses, that we’d have at least a 60 percent chance, I think, is irresponsible.

And to your point about Iron Dome, Hanna, Iron Dome is meant to shoot down things that are low and slow: rockets. They’re relative—I mean, I know it seems crazy to say, Well, a slow rocket, but compared to an ICBM. When an ICBM’s warhead reenters the atmosphere and it’s coming down, it’s coming down at, like, 25 times the speed of sound.

And so this notion that we’re gonna shoot these things down—an enemy who is dedicated to doing this and launches two or three or five of these things is probably also gonna launch dummy warheads, chaff, other things that are meant to blind the sensors or confuse them. So the notion that you’re gonna put this bubble over the country, I don’t think even back in the ’80s anybody really believed that was possible, and it’s certainly not possible now. And I think very few decision makers are really, in the moment of crisis, going to rely on it if they have an option not to.

Rosin: So you’ve both mentioned this idea that this movie is reminding us of something that we’ve somewhat put in the background, but which is very real right now.

Tom, what is the state of nuclear proliferation? Are we in the middle of a new kind of nuclear-arms race? What’s happening in Asia? Can you just lay that out for us?

Nichols: Yeah, it’s a lopsided proliferation. The United States, even Russia to some extent, the U.K., France, we’ve been reducing nuclear weapons. I mean, if you had said to me in, like, the mid-1980s, when I was studying this—I was a grad student; I was writing about this stuff—saying, Hey, we’re gonna go from 20,000 weapons to 1,500, I would’ve said, You’re completely high. That this is never gonna happen this way. And it’s really a miracle that we got there.

The problem is that now the Chinese, the Pakistanis, the Indians, they are moving to catch up because they have their own concerns, and they have their own enemies in the world. Now, these are smaller weapons. They’re not ICBMs; they’re not intercontinental. Obviously, Pakistan and India and China keep arsenals for their own neighborhood. But it’s a proliferation problem that isn’t evenly spread out among all the nuclear powers.

And I’ll just remind people that there used to be 10 nuclear powers, and if you wanna sleep well at night, remember that the white apartheid South African regime actually built six nuclear weapons and managed to hide them from the world in the 1980s.

This is not, any longer, an exotic technology—I mean, the first nuclear bombs were made when airplanes had propellers and TVs had tubes in them—so it’s not that hard a technology to get.

Rosin: And, Noah, is this what you had in mind when you talked about the urgency of this movie? What do you want people to be thinking about as they leave the theater? It’s not a documentary, but what should we be thinking about?

Oppenheim: I think we wanted to invite a conversation. I recognize that there are so many dangers in the world right now; it’s hard to keep them all in mind at any one time. But this is one that has drifted out of focus, I think, for far too long. And it is a problem of our own making—we created these weapons—so I think, I’d like to believe, that means we can also solve the problem if we’ve created it. As Tom mentions, there is historical precedence for making progress; it’s not impossible—we’ve dramatically reduced the number of them in the world.

So there are paths towards possible solutions, and it just feels like one of those subjects that is far too easy to ignore, but we ignored at our own collective peril. And we shouldn’t leave the conversation entirely to that tiny community of nuclear wonks, who are incredibly thoughtful and have devoted their lives to thinking about this and probably understand the threat better than anyone—I wouldn’t wanna suggest in any way that they’re indifferent or callous. One of the things that we found in putting the movie together and doing the research was how eager the people in that world are to share their stories and their concerns with the broader public. I think they invite more people’s voices in the conversation.

Rosin: Tom, do you have anything to say about the path back from this lopsided buildup that you talked about?

Nichols: Well, I think—one of the things that I hope gets us on that path is people taking this more seriously.

When you’re electing a president of the United States, I think people have kind of let it drift away that, yeah, you’re voting because of the economy and the price of eggs, and you’re mad about political correctness or whatever it is, but in the end, you are still picking someone to hold a little card about the size of a playing card in his pocket all day that gives him the sole authority to launch nuclear weapons.

And people, I don’t think, are voting thinking about that anymore. And we used to—I mean, during the Cold War, there was always the question of Whose finger do you want on the button? People worried about that. But I think that, somehow, they’ve lost that sense of seriousness about it because this, to them, it’s kind of yesterday’s problem.

I also think we are not powerless here. We can do this. We can back things up. Ronald Reagan and Mikhail Gorbachev eliminated an entire class of weapons that, right now, the Trump administration is trying to put back in Europe. But they actually managed to make the world a lot safer by simply saying, We’re gonna take all these weapons, and we’re gonna scrap ’emWe’re gonna literally crush them and throw them away.

It’s possible to do that, but first, the public has to take seriously that this is a real danger—it can really happen—and that real human beings have this responsibility.

Rosin: Well, Tom, thank you for laying that out for us, and, Noah, thank you so much for joining us today.

Nichols: Thank you so much for having me. I really appreciate it.

Oppenheim: Thank you.

[Music]

Rosin: This episode of Radio Atlantic was produced by Rosie Hughes. It was edited by Claudine Ebeid and fact-checked by Sara Krolewski. Rob Smierciak engineered this episode and provided original music. Claudine Ebeid is the executive producer of Atlantic audio, and Andrea Valdez is our managing editor.

Listeners, if you like what you hear on Radio Atlantic, you can support our work and the work of all Atlantic journalists when you subscribe to The Atlantic at TheAtlantic.com/listener.

I’m Hanna Rosin. Thanks for listening.

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Hanna Rosin

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Hanna Rosin is a senior editor at The Atlantic and the host of Radio Atlantic.


TODAY’S NUCLEAR WORLD NEWS, Thursday, (10/23/2025)

About Today’s Nuclear News and How it Works:

There are 7 categories, including a bonus non-nuclear category for news about the Yellowstone caldera and other volcano and caldera activity around the world that also play an important role in the survival of human and other life.

The feature categories provide articles and information about ‘all things nuclear’ for you to pick from, usually with up to 3 links with headlines concerning the most important media stories in each category, but sometimes fewer and occasionally even none (especially so with the Yellowstone Caldera). If there was no news from a Category today, the Category will not appear. The Categories are listed below in their usual order:

  1. All Things Nuclear
  2. Nuclear Power
  3. Nuclear Power Emergencies
  4. Nuclear War Threats
  5. Nuclear War
  6. Yellowstone Caldera
  7. IAEA News (Friday’s only)

A current Digest of major nuclear media headlines with automated links is listed below by nuclear Category (in the above listed order). If a Category heading does not appear in the daily news Digest, it means there was no news reported from this Category today. Generally, the three best articles in each Category from around the nuclear world(s) are Posted. Occasionally, if a Post is important enough, it may be listed in multiple Categories.

Today’s Nuclear World News

All Things Nuclear

NEWS

Putin directs Russian nuclear forces drills as summit with Trump is on hold | PBS News

PBS

The Kremlin said that as part of the maneuvers involving all parts of Moscow’s nuclear … Read Oct 21 9 things to know about the $250 million …

How China Raced Ahead of the U.S. on Nuclear Power – The New York Times

The New York Times

Worries about the disposal of nuclear waste and fears after the … “China is practiced at building really big things, everything from dams …

TVA nominees promise to support advanced reactor development

American Nuclear Society

Nuclear support: All four nominees said that they would back nuclear … “I think that is one of the things I’m most excited about being on …

Nuclear Power

NEWS

US to announce recipients of plutonium for reactors by year-end – Reuters

Reuters

Timothy reports on energy and environment policy and is based in Washington, D.C. His coverage ranges from the latest in nuclear power, to environment …

The Natrium® Project Receives First NRC-Issued Environmental Impact Statement … – TerraPower

TerraPower

This is the first advanced commercial nuclear power plant to achieve this regulatory milestone. “TerraPower has been committed to bringing the next …

Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant reconnected to external power from Ukraine – The Guardian

The Guardian

Prior to its reconnection, the nuclear power plant had been relying on backup diesel generators to supply electricity necessary for cooling for a …

Nuclear Power Emergencies

NEWS

Worker Falls Into Nuclear Reactor, Drinks a Little “Cavity Water” – Futurism

Futurism

After tumbling an unknown distance into the nuclear cavity, the unnamed contractor was quickly decontaminated and sent to seek emergency medical care …

Update 323 – IAEA Director General Statement on Situation in Ukraine – ReliefWeb

ReliefWeb

The restoration of off-site power to Europe’s largest nuclear power plant … Over the past month, the plant has relied on emergency diesel generators …

Power to occupied Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant restored, ending month-long blackout

Ukrainian World Congress

During this entire period, the safety of Europe’s largest nuclear power plant was maintained solely by emergency diesel generators,” Hrynchuk said.

Nuclear War Threats

NEWS

US Ally Launches Missile Submarine Amid North Korea Threat – Newsweek

Newsweek

… nuclear advances and reports that it received support from Russia in developing underwater warfare. … threats.” Lee Sang-woo, director general of the …

Turning Back from the Brink of Nuclear War – Countercurrents

Countercurrents

This worldwide nuclear weapons buildup has been accompanied by a revival of public threats by the leaders of nuclear-armed nations to initiate nuclear …

Ukraine Arms Up as Putin Ramps Up Nuclear Threats | – YouTube

YouTube

Russia Ukraine War | Ukraine Arms Up as Putin Ramps Up Nuclear Threats | … Russia: Nuclear Threat Will Grow if US Rejects Moscow’s Proposal on …

Nuclear War

NEWS

North Korea says its latest missile tests demonstrate a new hypersonic system – ABC News

ABC News – The Walt Disney Company

North Korea said Thursday that its latest missile tests involved a new hypersonic system aimed at strengthening its nuclear war deterrent, …

North Korea says its latest missile tests demonstrate a new hypersonic system – NBC News

NBC News

North Korea said its latest missile tests involved a new hypersonic system aimed at strengthening its nuclear war deterrent, as leader Kim Jong Un …

This Movie Makes Nuclear War Feel Disturbingly Possible – The Atlantic

The Atlantic

This Movie Makes Nuclear War Feel Disturbingly Possible. An interview with the A House of Dynamite screenwriter Noah Oppenheim and Tom Nichols. By …

Discussion about this post

LLAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY, #1083, Wednesday, (10/22/2025)

“End Nuclear Insanity Before Nuclear Insanity Ends Humanity.” ~llaw

Lloyd A. Williams-Pendergraft

Oct 22, 2025

Image . . .

Uranium structural deficit illustrated with graphics.

LLAW’s All Things Nuclear Concerns: What’s New and Important in the Nuclear World and What to do About It!

Okay, here is the reality of the ultimate future failure of the Uranium industry in the not too far away future — even if other liabilities and dangers don’t cast their damages and destructions against them.

I have often long said that the revival of the nuclear industry has bought their cart long before their horse. And yet today’s feature story’s important and potentially likely disastrous tale doesn’t even need to touch on the most important magnitude of the ultimate problem that goes beyond mine production shortages all the way to eventual complete depletion.

Uranium is a depletable fossil fuel product — no different than coal, oil, natural gas, and is, in reality, more rare — and far more expensive to produce — than any of the other fossil fuels. So, barring a miracle of finding an alternative to the necessary mining and milling uranium product (U3O8) not only for new nuclear power plants, but all of them, will become “White Elephants” that will make the entire industry the greatest laughing stock the world has ever known. That is, if we are still a living, breathing, existential product ourselves — which is doubtful. ~llaw

Today’s Feature Story from LLAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY is from . . .

Nuclear Power Emergencies

NEWS


Uranium structural deficit illustrated with graphics.

Nuclear Fuel Supply Chains Face Critical Inventory Depletion

The uranium structural deficit has emerged from theoretical concern to market reality, with global nuclear fuel requirements now consistently exceeding primary mining production by approximately 40-50 million pounds U3O8 annually. This fundamental imbalance, previously masked by depleting inventory stockpiles and secondary uranium sources, signals a paradigm shift in nuclear fuel markets that extends far beyond commodity pricing into energy security planning and climate policy implementation.

Current market dynamics reveal a stark disconnect between reported capacity and operational reality. Global uranium production reached 142.65 million pounds U3O8 in 2023, while actual reactor requirements totaled 174 million pounds U3O8, according to World Nuclear Association data. This 30-40 million pound annual deficit has historically been filled through inventory draws and secondary supply sources that are approaching exhaustion thresholds.

Japan’s return to uranium procurement markets in 2024, marking their first purchases since 2013 following the Fukushima shutdown period, serves as a critical indicator of inventory depletion. Furthermore, commercial uranium inventories held by utilities globally have declined from approximately 1.3 billion pounds U3O8 equivalent in 2012 to roughly 800 million pounds U3O8 by end of 2023, representing a 38% reduction over the decade.

The Complexity of Nuclear Fuel Manufacturing Timelines

Nuclear fuel production involves an intricate multi-stage process creating significant timing mismatches between uranium extraction and reactor consumption. Raw uranium oxide must undergo conversion to uranium hexafluoride, enrichment to increase U-235 concentration, and fabrication into fuel assemblies before becoming reactor-ready.

Nuclear Fuel Cycle Timeline Breakdown:

  • Conversion of uranium oxide (U3O8) to uranium hexafluoride (UF6): 3-6 months
  • Enrichment process: 3-6 months
  • Fuel fabrication: 6-12 months
  • Total pipeline time: 18-24 months from mine to reactor

This extended manufacturing timeline means supply disruptions create cascading effects that may not manifest for nearly two years, while demand spikes require immediate inventory draws rather than increased production responses. The pipeline complexity explains why spot market price movements often lag fundamental supply-demand imbalances by substantial periods.

Table: Global Uranium Inventory Categories and Mobility Status

Inventory TypeEstimated Quantity (Million lbs U3O8)Mobility StatusDepletion TimelineUtility Working Stock50-70High2-3 yearsCommercial Stockpiles30-50Medium3-5 yearsPipeline Inventory20-30High12-18 monthsGovernment Strategic Reserves100-150LowUnavailable for market

Recent developments indicate these buffer systems are approaching critical depletion thresholds. Enrichment underfeeding capacity, which effectively releases additional uranium supply into markets by using more natural uranium and less enrichment work, has declined due to higher energy costs and reduced enrichment capacity following Russian supply chain disruptions.

Industry Planning Documents Create Misleading Market Expectations

Traditional uranium market forecasts consistently overestimate both supply capability and demand timing due to fundamental misunderstandings about how industry reports function. World Nuclear Association and Red Book publications serve as planning tools for utilities and governments using idealised scenarios rather than predictive models for investment timing.

These reports calculate uranium requirements based on operable reactor capacity rather than actual operating capacity. Historical data reveals nuclear facilities typically achieve 70-84% of nameplate capacity due to maintenance schedules, regulatory compliance, and operational constraints. The International Atomic Energy Agency reports a global nuclear fleet capacity factor of 82.5% for 2023, representing improvement from the 70-75% range in the 1990s.

Supply-Side Projection Failures Include:

  • Permitting delays averaging 2-4 years beyond initial timelines
  • Financing gaps for development-stage projects lacking long-term contracts
  • Jurisdictional risks including political instability and regulatory changes
  • Technical challenges accessing deeper or lower-grade deposits
  • Equipment failures and weather events reducing actual production to 70-84% of theoretical capacity

Market Reality Check: When Japan shut down 40 reactors post-Fukushima, industry reports continued showing 40 operable reactors despite decade-long shutdowns, illustrating the disconnect between theoretical capacity and operational reality.

The 12-24 month fuel cycle lag adds another complexity layer. Supply and demand curves shown in industry reports become misaligned by one to two years when translated into actual fuel availability, making precise market timing extremely challenging for investors relying on traditional forecasting methods.

Geopolitical Fragmentation Reshapes Global Uranium Markets

The traditional fungible global uranium market is fragmenting into competing regional supply chains driven by energy security concerns and strategic resource control. This fragmentation reduces market efficiency while creating premium pricing for secure, Western-origin uranium supplies. Moreover, the US Senate uranium ban has accelerated this market segmentation.

Strategic Supply Chain Realignment

U.S. Supply Security Initiatives:

The Prohibiting Russian Uranium Imports Act, signed into law May 13, 2024, implements a phased restriction timeline:

  • Immediate effect: 90 days after enactment (August 2024)
  • Waiver availability: Until January 1, 2028 (if no viable alternatives exist)
  • Complete phase-out: January 1, 2040 for all enriched uranium products
  • Strategic reserve establishment: 40 million pounds over 10 years through $75 million annual Uranium Reserve Program

Global Policy Reversals and Nuclear Renaissance:

TODAY’S NUCLEAR WORLD NEWS, Wednesday, (10/22/2025)

About Today’s Nuclear News and How it Works:

There are 7 categories, including a bonus non-nuclear category for news about the Yellowstone caldera and other volcano and caldera activity around the world that also play an important role in the survival of human and other life.

The feature categories provide articles and information about ‘all things nuclear’ for you to pick from, usually with up to 3 links with headlines concerning the most important media stories in each category, but sometimes fewer and occasionally even none (especially so with the Yellowstone Caldera). If there was no news from a Category today, the Category will not appear. The Categories are listed below in their usual order:

  1. All Things Nuclear
  2. Nuclear Power
  3. Nuclear Power Emergencies
  4. Nuclear War Threats
  5. Nuclear War
  6. Yellowstone Caldera
  7. IAEA News (Friday’s only)

A current Digest of major nuclear media headlines with automated links is listed below by nuclear Category (in the above listed order). If a Category heading does not appear in the daily news Digest, it means there was no news reported from this Category today. Generally, the three best articles in each Category from around the nuclear world(s) are Posted. Occasionally, if a Post is important enough, it may be listed in multiple Categories.

Today’s Nuclear World News

All Things Nuclear

NEWS

CME beats profit estimates, eyes retail push | Reuters

Reuters

“Key developments likely to center on all things digital/AI as relates to volumes and expense curves. … Nuclear power at heart of new Japan prime …

World Cup 2026: Which teams qualified during October window

FourStatesHomepage.com

Watch episode two of “Quest for the Cup” in the video player above, taking you through all things … nuclear staffers … Exclusive: Gov. Kehoe …

Energy secretary says nuclear workers on furlough, amid shutdown, hits national security

KNPR

“We did everything we could to keep our federal workers here employed as long as possible but unfortunately today is the day our ability to deploy …

Wright says DOE finding ways to pay nuclear contractors – POLITICO Pro

POLITICO Pro

The Energy secretary spoke Monday in Nevada about workers who help keep tabs on the U.S. nuclear weapons stockpile. Avatar of Brian Dabbs. By: Brian …

Putin supervises readiness drills for Russian nuclear forces – CNN

CNN

… Things · Chasing Life with … Russia’s Ministry of Defense said the drills involved all three components of the nuclear triad: land, sea and air.

Nuclear Power

NEWS

Scientists make incredible breakthroughs in pursuit of new-age nuclear power – Yahoo

Yahoo

According to the journal Nature, high-performance structural materials are essential to the integrity and efficiency of any reactor, and most nuclear …

Uranium fuel arrives at Michigan nuclear plant ahead of unprecedented restart – MLive.com

MLive.com

Nuclear energy is touted by some climate action advocates as a source of large amounts of reliable power without planet-warming carbon emissions, …

US offers nuclear energy companies access to plutonium, FT reports – Reuters

Reuters

The United States has offered energy companies access to nuclear waste that they can convert into fuel for advanced reactors, the Financial Times …

Nuclear Power Emergencies

NEWS

Uranium Structural Deficit Creates Global Nuclear Supply Emergency – Discovery Alert

Discovery Alert

Nuclear fuel production involves an intricate multi-stage process creating significant timing mismatches between uranium extraction and reactor …

Abu Dhabi Police to conduct emergency exercise at Barakah Nuclear plant | Khaleej Times

Khaleej Times

Abu Dhabi Police, in collaboration with partner agencies, will carry out an emergency exercise at the Barakah Nuclear Energy Plant in the Al …

Demonstrative launch of “Yars” towards the USA – an attempt to damage Trump’s image

unn.ua

… nuclear drills” … Most regions experienced emergency power outages after another Russian attack on energy infrastructure – Ministry of Energy.

Nuclear War Threats

NEWS

Turning Back from the Brink of Nuclear War – Daily Kos

Daily Kos

This worldwide nuclear weapons buildup has been accompanied by a revival of public threats … nuclear warthreats that have been issued, repeatedly, by …

“Awake Or Asleep”: Reason, Not Politics, Is The Path To Nuclear War Avoidance

Modern Diplomacy

In dealing with nuclear war risks involving North Korea, Russia, China, India or Pakistan,[6] no concept could prove more important than synergy.

“A House of Dynamite” | The Nation

The Nation

… threats to employ nuclear munitions in response … Readers seeking more background on these dangers should consult Annie Jacobsen’s Nuclear War …

Nuclear War

NEWS

Russia holds nuclear drills after delay to Putin-Trump summit | Reuters

Reuters

At key moments in the war in Ukraine, Putin has frequently issued reminders of Russia’s nuclear might as a warning signal to Kyiv and its allies in …

Putin supervises readiness drills for Russian nuclear forces – CNN

CNN

“Today, we are conducting a planned – I want to emphasize, planned – nuclear … War · Israel-Hamas War · Watch · Live TV · CNN Headlines · CNN Shorts …

Nuclear Deterrence Reconsidered: The Emerging Threat of Limited Nuclear Warfare

Military Strategy Magazine

This article analyzes the concept of limited nuclear war (LNW) and argues that the likelihood of states adopting an LNW strategy is increasing, …

Discussion about this post

LLAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY, #1082, Tuesday, (10/21/2025)

“End Nuclear Insanity Before Nuclear Insanity Ends Humanity.” ~llaw

Lloyd A. Williams-Pendergraft

Oct 21, 2025

LLAW’s All Things Nuclear Concerns: What’s New and Important in the Nuclear World and What to do About It!

Weekly Opinion Coming Monday, October 27, 2025 . . . (If we make it that far.)

Thought for today: We are in trouble and the problem is more human than nuclear . . . The “King” has no clothes and is tearing down our White House because he thinks he owns it.

Today’s Feature Story from LLAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY is from . . .

Nuclear War

NEWS

An introduction to the Harvard Kennedy School’s anti-nuclear program . . . ~llaw

Harvard Kennedy School | Harvard Kennedy School

Inside the Kennedy School’s long fight to prevent nuclear catastrophe

For generations, the insights and engagement of Kennedy School scholars have strengthened nuclear strategies and reduced dangers.

You are here

By James F. Smith

Illustrations by Mark Harris

Fall 2025

EVEN AS THE SMOKE AND ASH still wafted from the World Trade Center ruins in lower Manhattan in the days and weeks after the al-Qaida attacks in 2001, counter-terrorism specialists in the United States rushed to ask what form terror might take next: Chemical weapons? Biological attacks? One fear loomed above the others: that terrorists could get their hands on enough fissile material to make their own crude nuclear bombs—and threaten whole cities with devastation.

Researchers at Harvard Kennedy School’s Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs had already spent years weighing the potential threats and trying to raise that alarm. The 9/11 attacks galvanized policymakers to listen. Matthew Bunn, now leader of the center’s Project on Managing the Atom, had worked in the White House before coming to Harvard and grasped the politics of policy as well as the underlying science. He conceived a U.S. program to secure poorly guarded fissile material in many countries.

That work took shape, and through the resulting Global Threat Reduction Initiative, governments locked down or removed more than four tons of highly enriched uranium and plutonium, ensuring that those deadly materials could never be weaponized. Many countries switched their medical and other nonmilitary facilities to use safer low-enriched uranium that could not be used in bombs. The United States alone spent as much as $500 million a year on this work over more than a decade. In 2016, President Obama applauded the progress: “By working together, our nations have made it harder for terrorists to get their hands on nuclear material. We have measurably reduced the risk.”

That was just one of the many ways that Kennedy School scholars have helped prevent nuclear catastrophe. Meghan O’Sullivan, the Belfer Center’s current director, says, “Our scholars and practitioners have shaped treaties, secured stockpiles, and trained generations of leaders. This work is as urgent today as at any point in the last eighty years.”

Thomas Schelling

“The most spectacular event of the past half century is one that did not occur. We have enjoyed sixty years without nuclear weapons exploded in anger. What a stunning achievement—or, if not achievement, what stunning good fortune.”

Thomas Schelling, 2005 Nobel Prize acceptance speech

HKS faculty, alumni, and fellows have advised presidents, responded to global security crises and threats, and filled top nuclear security roles in many governments and organizations; they have raised potential solutions through research and have convened gatherings of nuclear policy brainpower; they have challenged accepted approaches to nuclear security policy; they have contributed to the elimination of thousands of nuclear weapons; and they have made the world a safer place, limiting the risk of nuclear war and disaster.

And now, with renewed urgency, these Kennedy School experts are taking on fresh initiatives on core themes such as nonproliferation and nuclear deterrence. They are responding to fast-evolving new dangers from Russia and its war on Ukraine, Pakistan and India, Iran, and North Korea; and increasingly they are focusing on the world’s third nuclear weapons superpower, China.

“The curtain is rising on another era in which these will be much livelier questions, and there’s all the more need for places that actually do this work,” says Graham Allison, the founding dean of the modern Kennedy School and former director of the Belfer Center, who has been a renowned policy analyst on nuclear security since the 1970s. “Avoiding nuclear war is a necessary condition for pursuing any other objective,” he says. “This is not a problem to be solved, but a situation to be managed. And as technologies and geopolitics change, each generation has to manage it. Helping clarify that challenge and connecting with governments to meet it has been one of the bright red lines running through the Belfer Center and the Kennedy School.”

The Cold War era: Roots of nuclear policy impact

As the Cold War deepened in the 1950s, the specter of nuclear war between the Soviet Union and the United States preoccupied Harvard Professor Paul Doty, who as a young biochemist had worked on the Manhattan Project, which invented nuclear weapons. Doty traveled to Russia 42 times over the decades—he took pride in counting—to build relationships with Soviet scientists and to generate ideas in what were called Track Two (non-government) talks on ways to avoid nuclear confrontation. Doty advised Presidents Eisenhower, Kennedy, and Nixon on nuclear weapons policy, and his ideas contributed to the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty of 1972. That was part of the first U.S.-Soviet Strategic Arms Limitation Talks, or SALT I, which sought to slow the nuclear arms race by limiting offensive and defensive long-range weapon systems.

Doty was motivated by a 1955 manifesto from scientist Albert Einstein and the British philosopher Bertrand Russell on the horrors of hydrogen bombs: “It is feared that if many H-bombs are used there will be universal death, sudden only for a minority, but for a majority a slow torture of disease and disintegration,” it read. “We appeal as human beings to human beings: Remember your humanity and forget the rest.”

In response, Doty built up what became the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs as a base for Harvard expertise on nuclear policy, initially supported by McGeorge Bundy, then the president of the Ford Foundation. Doty recruited faculty and research fellows who took that nuclear policy work forward for decades and continue those objectives today.

As chairman of the Federation of American Scientists, Doty joined in creating the Pugwash Conferences on Science and World Affairs, a channel for ongoing unofficial communication among Soviet and Western scientists and arms control experts with this stated goal: “to build dialogue across divides.” Nearly 40 years later, in 1995, the Pugwash organization shared the Nobel Peace Prize for its efforts on nuclear disarmament and is still working today to rid the world of nuclear arms.

Keeping the cold peace: Deterrence and detente

The Kennedy School’s impact on nuclear deterrence goes back to Thomas Schelling, an economist who helped shape U.S. government policy and academic thinking on nuclear weapons and the danger of nuclear war in the 1950s and 1960s. After working in the White House, Schelling joined the Harvard faculty in 1958 and was among the founders of the modern Kennedy School. He won the 2005 Nobel Prize in economics for his application of “game theory” to strategies on issues including nuclear deterrence during the Cold War. Schelling developed policy-shaping theories of brinksmanship and “signaling” between the United States and the Soviet Union to make their intentions clear and avoid catastrophic misperceptions.

Schelling was among the faculty stars who took part in the Harvard-MIT Joint Arms Control Seminar, which ran for more than a decade and developed some of the seminal ideas that informed early arms control strategies at the height of the Cold War nuclear arms race. He began his Nobel Prize acceptance speech this way: “The most spectacular event of the past half century is one that did not occur. We have enjoyed sixty years without nuclear weapons exploded in anger. What a stunning achievement—or, if not achievement, what stunning good fortune.”

Former Defense Secretary Robert McNamara said that Schelling’s view “permeated civilian leadership under [President] Kennedy to a remarkable degree.” Schelling’s ideas on “the subtle tension … between conflict and cooperation” sparked innovations including the “hotline” connecting the Kremlin and the White House. This text-based data line was opened after the Cuban Missile Crisis and was used in several later Cold War crises, including the 1967 Six-Day War in the Middle East, when President Johnson alerted the Soviets about potentially alarming U.S. fleet movements in the region. The two countries exchanged 20 hotline messages during that tense showdown before a ceasefire ended hostilities.

Alongside Doty and Schelling, Graham Allison oversaw the School’s impact on an array of nuclear security policy issues. Allison made an early academic mark with his seminal 1971 book, “Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis.” As HKS dean and later as leader of the Belfer Center, he followed Doty’s practice of bringing a stream of practitioners to the School as professors of practice and senior fellows. Many had worked in government—as Allison himself did, taking breaks from Harvard to hold senior posts at the Pentagon in the Reagan and Clinton administrations.

In an appreciation of Schelling, Allison wrote: “In the months that followed the missile crisis, the Kennedy Administration sponsored a surge of initiatives that reduced the risk of accidents, unauthorized launches, misperceptions, and misunderstandings. These included … signing the Limited Nuclear Test Ban Treaty, placing electronic locks on warheads (permissive action links, or PALs), and beginning negotiations that in time established the Nonproliferation Treaty. The conceptual foundation for deadly adversaries to cooperate in finding ways to nonetheless constrain their competition was largely laid by Tom.”

Joseph Nye, the renowned Harvard political analyst who coined the terms “soft power” and “smart power,” was another exemplar of the School’s path to policy influence. A former HKS dean and Belfer Center director, he both studied and managed nuclear policy issues throughout the 1970s and 1980s. Nye held top positions in the State Department and the Pentagon during stints away from Harvard. In an interview in April shortly before his death at the age of 88, Nye recalled that when he was in charge of nuclear proliferation policy for President Carter in the late 1970s, he often consulted Doty and Al Carnesale, another former HKS dean and nuclear security veteran: “So there was a direct input of academia to policy. And the policy made some difference.”

Nye noted that President Kennedy had expected the world to have 15 to 25 nuclear weapons states by the mid-1970s. “We didn’t solve the problem completely,” he said, “but we did slow it down, and today there are only nine [nuclear-armed] countries. So, I think the nonproliferation policy did make a difference, and you can make a case that [the Kennedy School] contributed in that direct transmission belt.”

Still, Nye said, “the clearest way of carrying an idea into a government is inside a skull.” Moving between the academic world and the policy world, he suggested, is a sure way to get your ideas into play—as is training students and fellows who take their ideas into governments.

Nye, Carnesale, and Allison worked together during the 1980s on the “Avoiding Nuclear War Project,” holding conferences and publishing books including “Living with Nuclear Weapons.” In 1985 they co-edited “Hawks, Doves, and Owls: An Agenda for Avoiding Nuclear War” on the pathways to nuclear war and how policymakers might move back from the brink.

“Perhaps the most important thing we did was train a series of younger scholars who became major players in the government on nuclear issues,” Nye said. Ivo Daalder went on to become ambassador to NATO, and Jim Miller became undersecretary of defense, and Kurt Campbell became deputy secretary of state. “So there were a whole series of people who became influential on government policy relating to nuclear weapons who came up through this Avoiding Nuclear War Project.”

The 1990s: Navigating nuclear dangers after the fall of the Soviet Union

Perhaps the best-known example of HKS impact on real-world problems came in 1991. That’s when Professor Ashton Carter, a physicist, took the lead in what became the Kennedy School’s signature contribution to global nuclear security. As the Soviet Union began cracking that summer, Carter recognized the looming dangers well before others did. He led a group of HKS scientists and policy experts in analyzing the potential threats posed by the vast Soviet nuclear, chemical, and biological arsenals in Russia and other Soviet republics.

In late 1991, Carter’s team raised the alarm through a quickly produced, plain-language report. They briefed White House and congressional leaders on the threat, catching the attention of Senators Richard Lugar and Sam Nunn. The two senators spearheaded bipartisan legislation—which Carter helped draft—that created the Nunn-Lugar Act’s Cooperative Threat Reduction program to help secure and dismantle former Soviet weapons of mass destruction.

Belfer Center researcher Steven Miller worked closely with Carter to develop and promote this “loose nukes” initiative; he recalls stuffing envelopes alongside Carter in the autumn of 1991 with the report that he and Carter coauthored, “Soviet Nuclear Fission: Control of the Nuclear Arsenal in a Disintegrating Soviet Union,” so they could rush it to congressional leaders and staff. It proved decisive in getting Nunn-Lugar enacted in December 1991.

This effort committed $400 million a year for work in Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Belarus, and former Soviet satellite states that included the dismantling of not just nuclear warheads but also the missile systems and nuclear submarines that might deliver them. A U.S. scorecard of the impact says the Nunn-Lugar program eliminated more than 7,000 warheads in the countries of the former Soviet Union, and destroyed several thousand intercontinental ballistic missiles, missile silos, and mobile launchers. The program also removed tons of chemical and biological weapons materials. And 22,000 Soviet nuclear scientists were placed in civilian jobs so that they wouldn’t be tempted to sell their services to nefarious buyers.

A spinoff project conceived by MIT Professor Thomas Neff resulted in the United States purchasing weapons-grade uranium from Russian warheads that was turned into fuel for U.S. nuclear power plants—the Megatons to Megawatts Program—thus lighting up American homes with power from erstwhile Soviet nuclear bombs for many years.

Carter took a leave from Harvard to join the incoming Clinton administration in 1993 as assistant secretary of defense for international security, with oversight of the new Nunn-Lugar Program. He guided the program in the early years and worked closely with Lugar and Nunn in the removal of nuclear weapons from Russia, Ukraine, Belarus, and Kazakhstan. Carter moved back and forth from Cambridge to Washington and held a series of national security policy positions—culminating in his service under President Obama as secretary of defense from 2015 to 2017. He returned to Harvard and again led the Belfer Center until his sudden death in 2022 at the age of 68.

Miller, meanwhile, has remained a quiet hero of the Belfer Center’s work on nuclear security policy for nearly 50 years. He arrived at HKS in 1977 as a postdoctoral fellow. As the editor of International Security, which Doty founded in 1975, Miller built it into the most-cited academic journal in its field. Miller also directs the center’s International Security Program and partners with Bunn on nuclear policy work. He remains active in Pugwash as an executive committee member and takes part in its Track Two talks between nongovernment specialists from potential adversary countries, most recently with counterparts in China, Russia, and Iran.

In 1996, John Holdren, a theoretical physicist and expert on nuclear weapons and arms control, climate, and energy policy, was recruited to the Kennedy School to run the environment and energy policy program. Holdren was an adviser to President Clinton, and Bunn was a staffer in the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy; they had worked closely on a classified government study of the loose nukes problem and potential solutions. Holdren persuaded Bunn to come to Harvard with him to work on a new nuclear security initiative—called the Project on Managing the Atom (MtA).

Nearly 30 years after he left U.S. government service and came to Harvard, Bunn is now the James R. Schlesinger Professor of the Practice of Energy, National Security and Foreign Policy, and director of the MtA program. He and his small team are still influencing nuclear security policy choices in many countries.

Before coming to Harvard, Holdren was a Pugwash leader, serving as chair for a decade, and he gave the acceptance speech for its 1995 Nobel Peace Prize (with Miller attending, as a senior Pugwash member). Holdren took leave from Harvard to serve as President Obama’s science adviser. He is now a Harvard research professor and remains co-director of the Belfer Center’s Science, Technology, and Public Policy Program.

Holdren is an eloquent if so-far unsuccessful advocate of a “no first-use policy”—getting nuclear-armed nations to commit not to use the weapons first in any conflict. As Holdren wrote recently: “Declaring a policy and posture of no first use of nuclear weapons offers the most conspicuous opportunity not yet taken for the United States to devalue the currency of nuclear weapons in world affairs.”

Matthew Bunn

“There is widespread agreement that, in addition to sensible policy, the world has avoided nuclear war through a large measure of luck—and there is no way of knowing how long that luck will last.”

Matthew Bunn

The 2000s: The 9/11 attacks—and new nuclear security fears

Before and after 9/11, Allison, Bunn, Miller, and others at Belfer raised warnings about the dangers of unsecured nuclear materials—some weapons-usable—scattered around the world in poorly guarded sites. The Sept. 11 terror attacks made clear that the threat involved not just nuclear-armed nations but also non-state actors such as al-Qaida and other potential proliferators. President Obama read and was moved to action by Allison’s book, “Nuclear Terrorism: The Ultimate Preventable Catastrophe.” Bunn’s “Securing the Bomb” series of reports helped galvanize action. In this climate, Bunn was able to advance what became the Global Threat Reduction Initiative as an outgrowth of the nuclear security work under the Nunn-Lugar initiative.

Recognizing the changing risks, President Obama pulled together a series of Nuclear Security Summits starting in 2010, which were attended by more than 50 world leaders. Bunn offered suggestions to the host governments for all four summits, working with Gary Samore, who had earned his master’s and doctoral degrees at Harvard and was then Obama’s “weapons of mass destruction czar,” and Laura Holgate, a senior U.S. diplomat and former Belfer Center staffer who led the summit planning at the White House. The first summit approved a four-year effort to secure vulnerable materials worldwide—an idea Bunn had suggested. Through this process, many countries committed to steps such as reducing stockpiles of radioactive materials and tightening controls against insider threats.

Samore came back to Harvard as the Belfer Center research executive director in 2013 and was the lead author of the center’s “Iran Nuclear Deal: A Definitive Guide,” a handbook for policymakers suggested by Graham Allison. The booklet became required reading for congressional staff in the debate over the 2015 agreement (since abrogated by President Trump). Samore, now at Brandeis University, remains a Belfer Center senior visiting fellow.

Meghan O’Sullivan

“Our scholars and practitioners have shaped treaties, secured stockpiles, and trained generations of leaders. This work is as urgent today as at any point in the last eighty years.”

Meghan O’Sullivan

In the past decade, the nuclear policy landscape has further shifted from the era when many political leaders felt the threat of nuclear annihilation had subsided thanks to the global dominance of the United States and its friendly relations with newly democratic Russia.

“Everybody thought, oh well, that problem’s done, and the nuclear experts sort of got shoved to the side of the serious foreign policy conversation,” says Bunn. “Then, with the rise again of great power competition and really intense hostility between the United States and Russia, between the United States and China, between the United States and North Korea and North Korea’s development of missiles that can reach the U.S. homeland, people started realizing, ‘Whoa, wait a minute: Avoiding nuclear war is actually a key thing that we need to be designing our foreign policy around.’”

The 2020s: New initiatives to meet fast-changing nuclear risks

In November 2024, Meghan O’Sullivan, the Jeane Kirkpatrick Professor of the Practice of International Affairs and director of the Belfer Center, joined the leaders of two fellow institutions in launching the Task Force on Nuclear Proliferation and U.S. National Security. Along with MIT professor and former Belfer Center senior fellow Ernie Moniz of the nonprofit Nuclear Threat Initiative and Tino Cuéllar of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, O’Sullivan co-chairs this effort to bring together top U.S. security analysts and policy experts to study the drivers of proliferation with the goal to develop a nonpartisan policy roadmap for U.S. nuclear security policy.

“The risks are multiplying even as the nonproliferation architecture of the previous era degrades,” O’Sullivan notes. “The policy choices we make today will determine whether nuclear dangers grow or recede in the decades to come. This task force is about meeting that urgency.”

Today, the proliferation landscape is increasingly fraught: Iran’s program was targeted by U.S. and Israeli forces, and other Middle Eastern countries may want their own nuclear weapons. The Russian invasion of Ukraine and its threat to use nuclear weapons there raised concerns in countries under the American nuclear umbrella about whether the United States will really defend them. North Korea has built dozens of nuclear weapons coupled with a wide range of missiles.

O’Sullivan has intersected with many of these issues over the years, working in the U.S. State Department after the 9/11 attacks, in Iraq after the U.S. invasion in 2003, and as deputy national security advisor to President George W. Bush. She left government in 2007 to come to Harvard, where she leads the Geopolitics of Energy Project and has launched new efforts on the changing global order, how evolving technologies are shaping global politics, and the role of middle powers in the changing world picture.

The proliferation policy challenge includes the need to make sure that the growth and spread of nuclear energy does not contribute to the spread of nuclear weapons. Nuclear energy could play an important part in reducing carbon emissions to combat global warming if it can be produced safely, affordably, and with minimal nuclear-weapons risk.

Daniel Poneman was a Harvard undergraduate in 1975 when he became a research assistant to Al Carnesale. He went on to coordinate proliferation policy in the White House from 1990 to 1995. Under President Obama, Poneman became deputy secretary of energy, overseeing the U.S. atomic weapons arsenal as well as nuclear energy policy. After leaving government, he was chief executive of a major nuclear fuel company. Then Poneman returned to the Kennedy School as a senior fellow in 2024 to share his expertise on issues such as safer nuclear power generation. Poneman and Bunn are both members of the nonproliferation task force with O’Sullivan.

Poneman views the current global nuclear policy landscape as “the most dangerous moment since 1962,” the year of the Cuban Missile Crisis. “We used to think only about land, sea, and airplanes, jet bombers. But now you have to add cyberspace and outer space. Now we have to think about advanced conventional weapons and hypersonics,” he says. “The whole field has become more dangerous and more complex, at a time when arms control is effectively moribund.”

Deterrence in a higher-tech world with an emerging Big Power

Rethinking the evolving challenges of deterring nuclear war prompted another recent Kennedy School initiative: the Global Research Network on Rethinking Nuclear Deterrence, launched in 2022. Francesca Giovannini, the executive director of Managing the Atom, co-directed the deterrence network project with Bunn. Most of its work has been completed, including dozens of journal articles, and a book on nuclear dangers is nearing completion. The network comprised more than 80 scholars from 15 institutions and two countries.

In a paper for his students, Bunn explains one key reason nuclear deterrence needs to be reconsidered: “The crises of the nuclear age suggest that in a crisis events can get out of control, with incidents taking place that none of the leaders of the states in the crisis intended. There is widespread agreement that, in addition to sensible policy, the world has avoided nuclear war through a large measure of luck—and there is no way of knowing how long that luck will last.”

Beyond Russia, China, as a rival with a fast-growing nuclear weapons arsenal, presents the most complex and longer-term challenge and draws especially close focus from HKS scholars. Graham Allison’s ongoing research on great power rivalries is widely cited in analyses of the intensifying U.S.–China rivalry and debates about how to mitigate it, as is his “Thucydides’ Trap” concept of the risk of war between rising and ruling powers.

Allison regularly travels to China, promoting dialogue and laying the groundwork for government discussions. Both Allison and the MtA team traveled this past summer for discussions with Chinese counterparts, which included ideas for a potential Trump-Xi summit—among them, steps to reduce nuclear dangers and limit a potential arms race. And Bunn recently briefed Trump administration officials overseeing policy work on nuclear security, just as he has done with the administrations of both parties since Bill Clinton was in office.

Bunn is a second-generation nuclear policy specialist. His father, George Bunn, was a key negotiator of the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) in 1968 and drafted the legislation that created the Arms Control and Disarmament Agency. George Bunn mentored generations of students at Stanford and the University of Wisconsin Law School on how to bring nuclear weapons under international control. His son is doing the same at Harvard.

Steven Miller

“Paul Doty’s vision of creating opportunities that would train and help place the emerging generations of arms control and nuclear policy people really bore fruit across time.”

Steven Miller

Matthew Bunn is careful not to overstate his Managing the Atom team’s victories in influencing policy on these issues, and he stresses that he has built on decades of prior work at the Kennedy School. But over the years, “we have had some major successes convincing not only the U.S. government but also some other governments to take action,” Bunn says. Even China? “There are at least two major rules in Chinese nuclear security regulation that I believe were adopted after workshops that we organized to explain why those rules would be important things to do.”

Bunn engages regularly and directly. In 2024, he made the case in a talk in Beijing that it was in China’s national interest to restrain its nuclear arms building and avoid an arms race with the United States. The deputy director of strategic studies at the school of the Central Committee of the Chinese Communist Party, Fan Jishe, heard Bunn speak and asked him to write up his talk for a scholarly journal Fan helps edit. Bunn’s article, “Opportunities for U.S.-China nuclear tension reduction,” appeared in January. (Fan was once a Belfer Center research fellow in the Project on Managing the Atom.)

The Managing the Atom team has included the physicist Hui Zhang as a senior research associate since 1999. First trained in China, he leads an initiative assessing China’s policies and nuclear weapons buildup as well as its approaches to security for nuclear facilities and to nuclear energy. His forthcoming book explores the technical history of Chinese nuclear weapons development and testing.

Building an HKS nuclear policy talent pipeline

Bunn and other HKS scholars and practitioners have stepped up their pace on research, learning, and events to think through these fast-evolving risks of nuclear confrontation. The Project on Managing the Atom brings together colleagues and government officials from Russia, China, Europe, South Asia, and beyond to debate these issues and weigh options.

The MtA project is based in the School’s Belfer Center, where security policy programs since 1973 have trained more than 1,700 practitioners and scholars from around the world, along with countless Kennedy School graduate students. Many become security leaders in their countries—and some return to the Kennedy School as fellows to teach the next generation of specialists.

Steven Miller and Bunn host weekly seminars with Harvard graduate students and fellows in the MtA and International Security programs—candid conversations that draw the world’s leading policy experts as speakers. Miller reflects: “Paul Doty’s vision of creating opportunities that would train and help place the emerging generations of arms control and nuclear policy people really bore fruit across time.”

That tradition has never slowed. Ivo Daalder has returned to the Belfer Center as a senior fellow. Wendy Sherman, a former Belfer fellow and director of the HKS Center for Public Leadership, was deputy secretary of state under President Biden; her diplomatic career included nuclear security negotiations with Iran and North Korea. On her team as undersecretary for international security and arms control was Bonnie Jenkins, a former MtA fellow. Vipin Narang, another former MtA fellow, served as acting assistant secretary of defense charged with nuclear weapons policy.

Looking to a murky future and avoiding Armageddon

In recent years, the nuclear weapons landscape has grown steadily darker. Only one treaty limiting U.S. and Russian nuclear forces remains. When the New START Treaty expires in February 2026, the world will be without any limit on nuclear arms competition for the first time since 1972. This shift coincides with huge investments in upgrading weapons arsenals in the United States, Russia, and China—the opposite of the gradual disarmament envisioned in the 1970 Non-Proliferation Treaty on Nuclear Weapons.

At the same time, nearly 80 years into the Kennedy School’s work on nuclear arms control, deterrence, and nonproliferation, the world today has thousands fewer nuclear weapons, more channels for communicating in crises, and just nine nuclear weapons nations, not 15 or 50. Most important, that one worst outcome—a nuclear bomb attack—has not recurred since World War II. As Thomas Schelling said, the most important development of the last half century is something that didn’t happen—despite all the crises, near misses, and nuclear tensions that have led us to the brink.

That is partly to the credit of generations of Kennedy School thinkers and doers. And it is work that continues to this day. These experts have leaned into teaching, research, and engagement with policymakers that drove monumental nuclear treaties; built new understandings of decision-making and leadership in crises; fostered prize-winning dialogues with potential enemies; and slowed the proliferation of nuclear weapons to rogue governments and terrorists.

As Graham Allison put it, the work is informed by Ronald Reagan’s “incandescent one liner: ‘a nuclear war cannot be won and must never be fought.’” That idea has been foundational to thinking about how nuclear powers can live with one another, because they can’t fight it out in a nuclear war, Allison said. And that in turn recalls President Kennedy’s 1963 challenge in a speech at American University:

“Above all, while defending our own vital interests, nuclear powers must avert those confrontations which bring an adversary to a choice of either a humiliating retreat or a nuclear war,” Kennedy said. “To adopt that kind of course in the nuclear age would be evidence only of the bankruptcy of our policy—or of a collective death-wish for the world.”

(Former Belfer Center staff member Sharon Wilke contributed reporting for this article.)

Featured inline images:

HKS scholars led by Ash Carter helped forge the program that kept the world safe from “loose nukes” as the Soviet Union came apart at the end of the Cold War.

Kennedy School faculty and fellows engage nuclear policy leaders, bringing them to the HKS campus and reaching out to them across the world.

Photos by Getty Images or courtesy of the Belfer Center; portraits by Martha Stewart and HKS archives


TODAY’S NUCLEAR WORLD NEWS, Tuesday, (10/21/2025)

About Today’s Nuclear News and How it Works:

There are 7 categories, including a bonus non-nuclear category for news about the Yellowstone caldera and other volcano and caldera activity around the world that also play an important role in the survival of human and other life.

The feature categories provide articles and information about ‘all things nuclear’ for you to pick from, usually with up to 3 links with headlines concerning the most important media stories in each category, but sometimes fewer and occasionally even none (especially so with the Yellowstone Caldera). If there was no news from a Category today, the Category will not appear. The Categories are listed below in their usual order:

  1. All Things Nuclear
  2. Nuclear Power
  3. Nuclear Power Emergencies
  4. Nuclear War Threats
  5. Nuclear War
  6. Yellowstone Caldera
  7. IAEA News (Friday’s only)

A current Digest of major nuclear media headlines with automated links is listed below by nuclear Category (in the above listed order). If a Category heading does not appear in the daily news Digest, it means there was no news reported from this Category today. Generally, the three best articles in each Category from around the nuclear world(s) are Posted. Occasionally, if a Post is important enough, it may be listed in multiple Categories.

Today’s Nuclear World News

All Things Nuclear

NEWS

Furloughs start at nuclear security agency amid government shutdown – KMBC

KMBC

Energy Secretary Chris Wright says the U.S. nuclear stockpile will be secure, but experts say there are national security implications.

Furloughs start at nuclear security agency amid government shutdown – KCRA

KCRA

All of these things need constant monitoring and safe handling. Releases of any radioactive materials could be very dangerous. So that is the …

Kansas could get more nuclear reactors. Here are 6 things to know about the proposals

KCUR

This screengrab from a TerraPower video illustrates the company’s nuclear power plant design. Two companies are pursuing two very different visions ..

Nuclear Power

NEWS

US to expedite nuclearpowered subs to Australia that will sit near China’s doorstep

Fox News

In the agreement, known as AUKUS, the U.S. will sell up to five Virginia-class nuclearpowered submarines to Australia — slated for delivery as soon …

Trump affirms support for nuclear sub deal – POLITICO

Politico

President Donald Trump on Monday insisted the U.S. is going “full steam ahead” on a major nuclearpowered submarine pact, ending months of …

Amazon goes nuclear with new modular reactor plant – New Atlas

New Atlas

Learn why Amazon is building X-Energy Xe-100 small modular reactors (SMRs) near Richland, WA. This Generation IV nuclear technology will safeguard …

Nuclear Power Emergencies

NEWS

Hutchinson Explores Hosting Next-Generation Nuclear Power Facility to Boost Economic Growth

KCLY Radio

… nuclear power facility to Hutchinson, which … Kansas’ Angee Morgan Honored with National Emergency Management’s Top Distinguished Service Award.

Palisades moving closer to start-up | Newsradio WOOD 1300 and 106.9 FM – iHeart

Newsradio WOOD 1300 and 106.9 FM – iHeart

The Palisades nuclear power plant in Covert Township, is moving closer … The plant’s emergency plan is fully active, supported by a trained Emergency …

Nuclear War Threats

NEWS

Can missile defence against nuclear attack work? – ICAN

International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons (ICAN)

… threats it is designed to counter and the range it would cover … How can we best protect ourselves from the threat of nuclear war? The …

Inside the Kennedy School’s long fight to prevent nuclear catastrophe

Harvard Kennedy School

… nuclear deterrence. They are responding to fast-evolving new dangers from Russia and its war on Ukraine, Pakistan and India, Iran, and North Korea …

Threatens to SHOOT DOWN Putin’s Plane Ahead of Trump Meet | WW3 – YouTube

YouTube

… threat intensifies diplomatic tensions, putting pressure on European … ‘Nuclear War…’: Iran’s Khamenei Thrashes President Trump; Warns …

Nuclear War

NEWS

Can missile defence against nuclear attack work? – ICAN

International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons (ICAN)

Can missile defence against nuclear attack work? SHARE. With President Trump’s plan to create a missile defence shield for the …

Beyond New START: What Happens Next in Nuclear Arms Control? – RUSI

RUSI

… nuclear competition and reduce the risk of nuclear war. The Collapse of Nuclear Arms Control. When New START expires, the US and Russia will face a …

Inside the Kennedy School’s long fight to prevent nuclear catastrophe

Harvard Kennedy School

As the Cold War deepened in the 1950s, the specter of nuclear war between the Soviet Union and the United States preoccupied Harvard Professor Paul …

Yellowstone Caldera

NEWS

Yellowstone Hotspot’s Impact on Pacific Northwest Geological Evolution – Discovery Alert

Discovery Alert

• Awahee calderas: Multiple caldera systems in the Owyhee area showing bimodal volcanism. • Dooley Mountain rocks: Additional examples of crustal …

Time-lapse footage of minor phreatomagmatic eruption at the main crater of Taal Volcano …

Facebook

Yellowstone Volcano Observatory scientists continue to collect data from the Black Diamond Pool area of Biscuit Basin, where a hydrothermal …

Discussion about this post

LLAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY, #1081, Monday, (10/20/2025)

“End Nuclear Insanity Before Nuclear Insanity Ends Humanity.” ~llaw

Lloyd A. Williams-Pendergraft

Oct 20, 2025

Image: IAEA

LLAW’s Editorial: What’s New and Important in the Nuclear World

Let us begin this new expanded and more detailed commentary and discussion section to LLAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY — intended to present a more timely, but collective and progressive dissertation on where the global world stands relative to the little-known haunting mysteries, secrets, and public knowledge of “All Things Nuclear” — mainly concerning the two most important and misunderstood elements — Nuclear War and Nuclear Energy. So we will start this much-needed section with the subject of reliable information and knowledge and the mostly unrealized fact that what we think we know may “kill” us.

Even the very knowledgeable and famous scientist Marie Curie who discovered the use of radium to “cure” cancer and other diseases was wrong about its life-saving attributes, and though she did come to realize and understand that radiation was extremely dangerous, eventually implementing radiation protection in her own lab — albeit too late to prevent her own demise.

There are important “fresh out of the box” understandings of nuclear subjects terminology, and their subjective “names” and definitions to recognize and always keep somewhere in the backs of our minds. For instance, there are no such things as nuclear “experts” who know and can dictate absolute future facts or incidents in the nuclear worlds. So whenever you see the word “expert” in a news story, take it with a pinch of salt. In other words, don’t rely on what such a media story nor the “expert” reports because the nuclear world can change instantly or very easily overnight. The reason for that is because of the unending variables of incidents that occur and surround “all things nuclear”.

If we are to evaluate all things nuclear in an educated way, we must always ignore the phrase “nuclear expert” because there are none, and it can be best described that the thousands and thousands of variables, including political upheavals and nuclear wars, nuclear power plants, nuclear fuel and weapons terrorism and sabotage as well as black-market trading among counties, engineering, mechanical breakdowns and operational procedural AI and human mental errors — not to mention, weather and earthquakes and other “acts of god” — all of which can eventually end human and other life on planet Earth.

Therefore, always keep in mind that there are no nuclear “Experts”. ~llaw


Today’s Feature Story from LLAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY is from . . . (See TODAY’S NUCLEAR WORLD NEWS, Monday, (10/20/2025 in Category Section below)

Nuclear Power Emergencies

NEWS

Nuclear Newswire Logo Vector - (.SVG + .PNG ...

Update on Zaporizhzhia

2h agoNuclear News

Image: IAEA

Repairs have reportedly started to restore off-site power to Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant. About a month ago, the site lost connection to the grid for the 10th time during the Russia-Ukraine military conflict, according to Rafael Mariano Grossi, director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency.

“Immediately after the plant last month lost all off-site power, the IAEA has been engaging closely with both sides to help create the necessary security conditions on the ground so that their technicians can carry out repair work that is of crucial importance for nuclear safety and security,” Grossi said on October 15, before the repair work had begun.

“This region is an active war zone, and we must be very careful in how we approach this complex and sensitive matter,” he continued. “Repairs to the power lines are needed on both sides of the front line, at locations several kilometers from the site itself. In line with the IAEA’s technical and impartial mission, I’m continuing to consult with the Russian Federation and Ukraine to enable this work to proceed within the next few days. They both tell me that they also want the repairs to go ahead. The current situation—with the plant relying on emergency diesel generators for weeks now—is not sustainable.”

Off-site power: Before the conflict, the Zaporizhzhia plant had access to 10 power lines. In recent years, that number has been reduced to two, of which one 330-kilovolt line was lost on May 7, while the sole remaining 750-kV line was disconnected on September 23. It is the plant’s longest complete loss of off-site power during the conflict, the IAEA noted.

The IAEA also reported that seven emergency diesel generators (EDGs) are currently producing electricity for the Zaporizhzhia site, mainly for the water pumps to cool the fuel in its six shut-down reactors as well as its spent fuel. Another 13 EDGs are in standby mode, with the plant continuing to alternate the ones in use to carry out necessary servicing.

Safety systems: Zaporizhzhia’s safety systems continue to be in operation for all reactor units and spent fuel pools to maintain nuclear safety.

The IAEA team at the plant has also continued to report that there has been no increase in the temperatures within the coolant in the reactors or the spent fuel pools, indicating that the nuclear fuel continues to be cooled effectively and that nuclear safety is currently maintained.

IAEA check: Over the past week, the team conducted a walkdown of the site and observed the EDGs in operation as well as all essential service sprinkler ponds, which provide cooling for the six shut-down reactors and spent fuel pools. The team noted that all were full and operating; they also performed radiation monitoring, confirming that radiation levels were normal for the site.

According to the IAEA, while the loss of off-site power remains in focus, the team is also monitoring other aspects of nuclear safety and security.

Earlier this month, team members met with the plant’s Emergency Preparedness and Response (EPR) Department. The team reported that the site’s EPR plan was approved, and it had been deemed effective in September. Meanwhile, the team learned that the plant had established a new off-site emergency facility in the nearby town of Enerhodar, as the former off-site facility was inaccessible due to its location on the other side of the conflict’s front line. The new off-site emergency facility serves as a backup to the temporary on-site emergency center, as the original on-site center remains unavailable. The temporary on-site center receives the same plant data, ensuring continuity in emergency coordination if needed, the IAEA said.

Recent actions: During the third week of October, the IAEA team visited the six pumping stations located at the Zaporizhzhia channel that was recently isolated from the cooling pond and that supplies water for the cooling of several plant systems. The team assessed equipment status and operability and confirmed that key pumps supporting service water, fire protection, and the common EDG cooling were functioning as needed.

The water level in the channel is still approximately two meters above the minimum for the pumps to be able to operate. Meanwhile, the team is still reporting that military activities continue at various distances from the site, according to the IAEA.

Elsewhere, the Chernobyl site remains disconnected from the 330-kV power line, following reports in early October that military strikes had damaged a nearby electrical substation, leading to a partial blackout of the site’s New Safe Confinement (NSC). The site has since successfully tested the EDGs that supply the NSC, confirming their readiness in case of a future loss of power.

“Fuel reserves are sufficient for over 10 days of EDG operation, with additional diesel fuel ordered to strengthen contingency capacity,” the IAEA said on October 15.

Latest Issue — Oct 2025

Latest Issue — Fall / Buyers Guide

Security


TODAY’S NUCLEAR WORLD NEWS, Monday, (10/20/2025)

About Today’s Nuclear News and How it Works:

There are 7 categories, including a bonus non-nuclear category for news about the Yellowstone caldera and other volcano and caldera activity around the world that also play an important role in the survival of human and other life.

The feature categories provide articles and information about ‘all things nuclear’ for you to pick from, usually with up to 3 links with headlines concerning the most important media stories in each category, but sometimes fewer and occasionally even none (especially so with the Yellowstone Caldera). If there was no news from a Category today, the Category will not appear. The Categories are listed below in their usual order:

  1. All Things Nuclear
  2. Nuclear Power
  3. Nuclear Power Emergencies
  4. Nuclear War Threats
  5. Nuclear War
  6. Yellowstone Caldera
  7. IAEA News (Friday’s only)

A current Digest of major nuclear media headlines with automated links is listed below by nuclear Category (in the above listed order). If a Category heading does not appear in the daily news Digest, it means there was no news reported from this Category today. Generally, the three best articles in each Category from around the nuclear world(s) are Posted. Occasionally, if a Post is important enough, it may be listed in multiple Categories.

Today’s Nuclear World News

All Things Nuclear

NEWS

Trump admin furloughs majority of top nuclear weapons staff amid shutdown – POLITICO Pro

POLITICO Pro

About 1400 NNSA employees are being furloughed, with about 375 … all words in that order with nothing in between. Search will capture …

The US in brief: The judiciary’s funding crunch | Latest US politics news from The Economist

The Economist

From Monday to Thursday we’ll quiz you on all things American. Last week Mr Trump authorised the CIA to conduct “covert” missions in Venezuela …

Semiconductor sales could approach $1T by 2027, BofA says (NVDA:NASDAQ)

Seeking Alpha

Amid surging demand related to all things artificial intelligence … Terrestrial Energy – Is This SPAC Merger About To Go Nuclear? IPO …

The Bunker Ready to Shelter Trump in a Nuclear Catastrophe – Indian Defence Review

Indian Defence Review

In a nuclear attack, President Trump would reportedly be relocated to … threats over North America. General Gregory Guillot, the current …

Trump claims trade threats prevented India-Pakistan war – Daijiworld.com

Daijiworld

And they were going at it. That could have been a nuclear war,” Trump said, adding that his trade threats “settled the war.” The former president …

Federal agency overseeing US nuclear stockpile will furlough most of its workforce starting Monday

CNN

“But the day-to-day rhythm of federal oversight, the approvals and monitoring of these contractors, keeping everything on track, will grind to a halt …

DOE Lays out Roadmap to Bring Nuclear Fusion to Market – RTO Insider

RTO Insider

“And I’ve had the political challenge to sell ‘not everything,’” he said. “In fact, there’s things we spend money on today that we should spend more …

Perspective: Where will you go when it’s five minutes to midnight? | Northern Public Radio

Northern Public Radio

Weekend All Things Considered. Next Up: 5:00 PM The Moth Radio Hour. 0:00 … Given Nuremberg’s proximity to the Iron Curtain, it is baffling that the …

Nuclear Power

NEWS

US nuclear stockpile agency to layoff hundreds as shutdown continues – BBC

BBC

The energy department said NNSA’s Office of Secure Transportation, responsible for transporting nuclear weapons, had enough funding to operate until …

Army’s Janus Program to boost advanced nuclear reactors

American Nuclear Society

The U.S. Army is moving forward with additional advanced reactor programs—building on multiple military efforts already underway as well as a …

US judge issues major ruling as nuclear power plant is dismantled: ‘A real step backward’

Yahoo

A federal judge ruled that a company dismantling a nuclear power plant doesn’t need to follow New York law as it disposes radioactive waste.

Nuclear Power Emergencies

NEWS

Update on Zaporizhzhia — ANS / Nuclear Newswire

American Nuclear Society

The current situation—with the plant relying on emergency diesel generators for weeks now—is not sustainable.” Off-site power: Before the conflict, …

Federal Nuclear Security Agency Furloughs Majority of Workforce Amid Ongoing …

Grants Pass Tribune

The Department of Energy has clarified that while emergency and … nuclearpowered submarines and responding to nuclear emergencies. The …

Nuclear War Threats

NEWS

Making Nuclear Blackmail Great Again – Global Security Review

Global Security Review

… nuclear buildupcold war … ​New STARTnuclear abolitionnuclear abolition movementnuclear blackmailnuclear coercionnuclear coercion threat …

Nuclear War

NEWS

Iran’s Khamenei rejects Trump offer of talks, denies US destroyed Iranian nuclear capabilities

Reuters

… war in June in which Israel and the U.S. bombed Iranian nuclear sites. Sign up here. “Trump says he is a dealmaker, but if a deal is accompanied …

High Representative Izumi Nakamitsu Delivers Keynote Remarks at “Nobel Laureates and …

United Nations Office for Disarmament Affairs

… Nuclear War“ Event. High Representative Izumi Nakamitsu Delivers Keynote Remarks at “Nobel Laureates and the Prevention of Nuclear War“ Event.

Anthropic Has a Plan to Keep Its AI From Building a Nuclear Weapon. Will It Work? | WIRED

WIRED

Topicsartificial intelligencemachine learningphysicsalgorithmsnuclearnuclear warnational securityAnthropic. Read More.

LLAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY, #1080, Sunday, (10/19/2025)

“End Nuclear Insanity Before Nuclear Insanity Ends Humanity.” ~llaw

Lloyd A. Williams-Pendergraft

Oct 19, 2025

A House of Dynamite. Rebecca Ferguson as Captain Olivia Walker in A House of Dynamite. Cr. Eros Hoagland/Netflix © 2025.

Today only, you can see the “Variety” story about the movie ‘A House of Dynamite’, posted in its entirety since this is the last day (and a low-news Sunday) and before LAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY begins its new format including a commentary section that is intended to present a progressively updated dissertation on where the world stands r4elative to “All Things Nuclear”, mainly concerning the two most important — Nuclear War and Nuclear Energy.

About the movie (a series) I do not agree with “Variety’s” view in this article that this movie (series) “makes almost no sense”, nor is it some sort of overstated “click-bate” effort to entice larger numbers of viewers. What could happen in this “tale” could very well happen in reality, and is probably more likely than an “understated” alternative with a “happy ending.”

So there is no need to press the “link button” to read what “Variety” has to say, but it’s down there in the “All Things Nuclear” category of TODAY’S NUCLEAR WORLD NEWS, Sunday if you want to view the article later.

Notice: Commentary and discussion relative to LLAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY is changing to “once a week” — probably every Monday — but the daily “LLAW’s All Nuclear Daily Digest” section of it will continue as always on a daily basis with a current commentary section relating to the latest concerns about “All Things Nuclear”, whatever they may be . . . ~llaw

Today’s Feature Story from LLAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY is from . . .

All Things Nuclear

NEWS

Variety-Logo-red - One Two Films

‘A House of Dynamite’ Is a Fear-Stoking Nuclear Exploitation Film. Why? Because the Movie Makes Almost No Sense

The film hyperbolically pushes the alarm button, all to push OUR buttons.

By Owen Gleiberman

A House of Dynamite. Rebecca Ferguson as Captain Olivia Walker in A House of Dynamite. Cr. Eros Hoagland/Netflix © 2025.

Eros Hoagland/Netflix

When Kathryn Bigelow’s nuclear countdown thriller “A House of Dynamite” premiered at the Venice Film Festival in early September, it was greeted with a chorus of praise. Just about every critic there called the movie tense, dazzling, nail-biting, and rhapsodized over what they saw as Bigelow’s stunning craftsmanship. It was clear to me that I had seen a totally different film — an overheated but “breathless” piece of doomsday pulp that repeated the same scenario three times (a rogue nuke speeding toward Chicago, where it’s set to drop and explode in 20 minutes), less effectively each time.

To me, “A House of Dynamite” didn’t feel at all like it was directed by the commanding filmmaker of “Zero Dark Thirty” and “The Hurt Locker.” This one felt like hyped-up TV, with too much caffeinated camera jitter, too many unconvincing but in-your-face “quotidian” moments, and too much hambone acting (I’ve never seen Jared Harris, who plays the Secretary of Defense, give this bluntly overstated a performance). The film felt to me like a schlock disaster movie taking itself seriously.

But that last element — the fact that it does take itself seriously — turned out to be the bait that hooked the critics. What the reviews I read, and the people I had conversations with, all seemed to be saying is that “A House of Dynamite” was a movie they watched with white knuckles, heart in the throat, and a prolonged spasm of dread because the film hit them with the force of a cathartic reality check. They hadn’t thought about the possibility of nuclear war in a long time. And this movie did more than just make you think about it. It demonstrated that the possibility was far more likely than any of us want to believe.

But does the movie, in fact, demonstrate that? Or does it merely assert it, with no evidence and with a scenario that strains belief because it makes almost no sense even on its own hair-trigger terms?

If you come out of “A House of Dynamite” thinking that a nuclear conflagration could be just around the corner, and that this is the movie that pulled the wool off your eyes, you could say that that makes it, by definition, an effective movie. But what I actually think that makes it is an exploitation film. “A House of Dynamite” works hard to churn up our anxieties, yet it does so more or less the same way the disaster films of the ’70s did: by serving up a sum-of-all-fears cataclysm as if it were “reality.”

The film’s nugget of apocalyptic narrative, which gets no more illuminated each time it’s retold, comes down to this: The rogue nuke, launched by we-have-no-idea-who, is rocketing toward the U.S., and despite all our advanced military defense systems there is no way to stop it. This, the film claims, is the real reality, the one that the powers that be want you to forget. The film suggests that our defense systems amount to a kind of Ponzi scheme, that the government has created a grand illusion of national security. But now, at last, watching this movie, the truth can be told: that it’s all 10 times more precarious than we thought. Sweet dreams!

Bigelow and her screenwriter, Noah Oppenheim, claim to have done their research and gotten the inside scoop on what a dangerous, scattershot, combustible world we’ve all fooling ourselves into believing we don’t live in. Bigelow used a retired three-star general as a consultant but, in general, stayed away from the Pentagon, refusing to seek its endorsement. She wanted to break free of the official bureaucratic party line. Okay, fair enough. But regardless of whether the film’s scenario is accurate, I’d be more satisfied than not if it simply felt accurate. Why doesn’t it? That comes down to how its key probability factor is totally at war with its central metaphor.

Let me explain. In the first episode, we expect that U.S. missiles will be able to zap that rogue nuke right out of the sky. But what we learn — and what everyone in the White House Situation Room learns too, since it appears they’re as clueless as we are — is that the chances of a GBI (Ground-Based Interceptor) taking out that nuke are just 61 percent. This causes Harris’s Secretary of Defense to exclaim, “So it’s a fucking coin toss? This is what $50 billion buys us?” That’s quite a statement for the film to make, and it’s meant to leave us spooked.

But if that’s the reality, consider this. The film’s second episode, in which the characters try (without success) to figure out who launched the attack, is entitled “A Bullet Hitting a Bullet.” That sounds like some sort of poetic fancy, but in the course of the episode the phrase is used, quite specifically, to explain why our missile defense systems are so much less effective than you or I think. The film asserts that if a rogue nuke were speeding toward Chicago, the chances that one of our missiles could knock it out of the sky would be comparable to the chances of a bullet hitting a bullet.

To laymen, that image kind of makes sense. A nuke fired at the U.S. would be traveling really fast (like a bullet). A missile launched to neutralize that nuke would also be traveling really fast (like a bullet). So one bullet would have to hit the other bullet. Pretend that someone was shooting a gun and trying to do that. What are the chances of a bullet hitting a bullet? I’d say close to zero.

But wait a minute. I thought the movie just told us that the chances of success in this situation are 61 percent. (Not 60 or 62 percent. 61.) That isn’t the greatest of odds, but it’s not the worst either. Yet now the movie is telling us that the odds of success are virtually nil. So which is it? A fucking coin toss…or a bullet hitting a bullet? Do you see how little “A House of Dynamite” adds up? Besides, I’m no expert, but that’s not how heat-seeking missiles work.

There have been great movies built around the looming hair-trigger prospect of a nuclear attack. “Dr. Strangelove” is, of course, a visionary comedy, yet it’s framed as a grandly ominous countdown-to-the-apocalypse. “Fail Safe,” the great Sidney Lumet nuclear thriller, came out the same year as “Dr. Strangelove” (1964), only nine months later, and in many ways it’s an even more spellbinding movie. And 25 years ago, the historical political drama “Thirteen Days,” set mostly in the Oval Office (with a definitive performance by Bruce Greenwood as JFK), portrayed the inner workings of the Cuban Missile Crisis with a riveting psychology and an inside realpolitik that was hypnotic to behold. The film showed us just how close we came (much closer than was acknowledged at the time, or for years afterward).

Those three movies are all, in their different ways, fearless cautionary works of art. But “A House of Dynamite” is so hyperbolic about pushing the alarm button, all in order to push our buttons, that the most dangerous possibility raised by the movie is that anyone would actually fall for it.

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There are 7 categories, including a bonus non-nuclear category for news about the Yellowstone caldera and other volcano and caldera activity around the world that also play an important role in the survival of human and other life.

The feature categories provide articles and information about ‘all things nuclear’ for you to pick from, usually with up to 3 links with headlines concerning the most important media stories in each category, but sometimes fewer and occasionally even none (especially so with the Yellowstone Caldera). If there was no news from a Category today, the Category will not appear. The Categories are listed below in their usual order:

  1. All Things Nuclear
  2. Nuclear Power
  3. Nuclear Power Emergencies
  4. Nuclear War Threats
  5. Nuclear War
  6. Yellowstone Caldera
  7. IAEA News (Friday’s only)

A current Digest of major nuclear media headlines with automated links is listed below by nuclear Category (in the above listed order). If a Category heading does not appear in the daily news Digest, it means there was no news reported from this Category today. Generally, the three best articles in each Category from around the nuclear world(s) are Posted. Occasionally, if a Post is important enough, it may be listed in multiple Categories.

TODAY’S NUCLEAR WORLD NEWS, Sunday, (10/19/2025)

All Things Nuclear

NEWS

At Utah summit, Energy Secretary Wright says ‘nuclear is going to become sexy again’

Utah News Dispatch

At a Utah summit, U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright spoke about a nuclear energy comeback as the nation tries to raise its energy output.

US Govt Shutdown Triggers Nuclear Crisis? Trump To Furlough 80% Of Nuke Agency Staff | Report

Times of India

Weather, strategy, and 5 things every golfer should knowShohei Ohtani breaks silence after Dodgers NLCS win and reveals what truly powered their …

‘A House of Dynamite’ Is a Fear-Stoking Nuclear Exploitation Film – Variety

Variety

Just about every critic there called the movie tense, dazzling, nail-biting, and rhapsodized over what they saw as Bigelow’s stunning craftsmanship.

Nuclear Power

NEWS

Army Goes Nuclear: Microreactors Set for US Bases By 2028 | Neutron Bytes

Neutron Bytes

The Janus Program will build on lessons learned from Project Pele, a transportable nuclear reactor which is the first electricity-producing Generation …

Trump administration furloughs nuclear weapons agency staff due to shutdown – Al Jazeera

Al Jazeera

President Trump’s energy secretary, Chris Wright, said “enough is enough” in a post on X on Friday, as he announced the planned furlough of NNSA …

Energy Secretary Wright says ‘nuclear is going to become sexy again’ – East Idaho News

East Idaho News

… nuclear energy regulations through Operation Gigawatt, and making deals with nuclear innovators. … power plants running. “I’m also super …

Nuclear War Threats

NEWS

Kremlin uses ‘nuclear saber-rattling’ to deter US Tomahawk supply to Kyiv: ISW – TVP World

TVP World

… war machine, a U.S. defense think tank has said. YOU … “The Kremlin has consistently relied on veiled and explicit threats, including nuclear …

What to do in first 10 minutes after nuclear bomb hits as WW3 fears escalate – World News

Daily Express US

Threats of nuclear war have been growing (Image: Mirror US). The … Russia’s stark WW3 warning after Trump’s chilling four-word nuclear threat.

India-Pak Rift: Munir Rakes Up Nuclear Threat Again Amid Internal Turmoil | WION

YouTube

Pakistani Army Chief, Field Marshal Asim Munir, has issued fresh threats against India. While Pakistan itself was raining bombs on Afghan …

Nuclear War

NEWS

Russia Warns US To Remove Nuclear Weapons From Europe ‘Or Else…’ – YouTube

YouTube

… nuclear policies and the Western critique of Russian-Belarusian cooperation in the military-nuclear sphere … ‘Nuclear War Approaching…’: Russia, …

Ukraine war briefing: Repairs begin in bid to restore power to Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant

The Guardian

The nuclear plant’s six reactors, which produced about one-fifth of Ukraine’s electricity before the war, were shut down after Moscow took control.

Iran says it’s no longer bound by nuclear deal limits – DW

DW

Israel-Hamas ceasefireWar in UkraineGerman politics · Latest audio Latest … nuclear weapons and has said its nuclear program serves exclusively …

Yellowstone Caldera

NEWS

Signs of Late-Stage Cryovolcanism in Pluto’s Hayabusa Terra – Universe Today

Universe Today

… Yellowstone caldera, Valles Caldera, and Long Valley Caldera. For Mars, these sites include collapsed pit craters located at Noctis Labyrinthus …

Discussion about this post

LLAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY, #1079, Saturday, (10/18/2025)

“End Nuclear Insanity Before Nuclear Insanity Ends Humanity.” ~llaw

Lloyd A. Williams-Pendergraft

Oct 18, 2025

See today’s article, linked below, for the rest of the story that should never have happened in this very troubled world! The US joined Israel in striking Iran during the 12-day war in June, which hit nuclear sites, but also killed more than 1,000 Iranians, including hundreds of civilians, and caused billions of dollars in damage. ~llaw

Notice: Commentary and discussion relative to LLAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY is changing to “once a week” — probably every Monday — but the daily “LLAW’s All Nuclear Daily Digest” section of it will continue as always on a daily basis — but with an added link to a “featured news story of the day Post” that follows in its entirety below . . .

Al Jazeera English - Wikipedia
A boy waves an Iranian flag as Iranians gather outside a building hit in Israeli attacks.

A boy waves an Iranian flag as people gather outside a building in Tehran hit by Israeli attacks, during the 12-day war in June [File: Majid Saeedi/Getty Images]

Today’s Feature Story from LLAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY is from . . .

Nuclear War

NEWS

Iran says restrictions on nuclear programme ‘terminated’ as deal expires – Al Jazeera

Al Jazeera

The US joined Israel in striking Iran during a 12-day war in June, which hit nuclear sites, but also killed more than 1,000 Iranians, including …


There are 7 categories, including a bonus non-nuclear category for news about the Yellowstone caldera and other volcano and caldera activity around the world that also play an important role in the survival of human and other life.

The feature categories provide articles and information about ‘all things nuclear’ for you to pick from, usually with up to 3 links with headlines concerning the most important media stories in each category, but sometimes fewer and occasionally even none (especially so with the Yellowstone Caldera). If there was no news from a Category today, the Category will not appear. The Categories are listed below in their usual order:

  1. All Things Nuclear
  2. Nuclear Power
  3. Nuclear Power Emergencies
  4. Nuclear War Threats
  5. Nuclear War
  6. Yellowstone Caldera
  7. IAEA News (Friday’s only)

A current Digest of major nuclear media headlines with automated links is listed below by nuclear Category (in the above listed order). If a Category heading does not appear in the daily news Digest, it means there was no news reported from this Category today. Generally, the three best articles in each Category from around the nuclear world(s) are Posted. Occasionally, if a Post is important enough, it may be listed in multiple Categories.

TODAY’S NUCLEAR WORLD NEWS, Saturday, (10/18/2025)

All Things Nuclear

NEWS

Work underway to restore power at Ukrainian nuclear plant as UN announces rare local …

CNN

The UN’s nuclear watchdog has said work is underway to restore power to the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant (ZNPP) following the establishment of rare …

Sen. Curtis, Energy Secretary Wright on why it’s time to make nuclear energy ‘sexy again’

KSL News

… all three of those things I think are dominating the market.” Widespread nuclear power may still be several years off — both Curtis and Wright …

Nuclear’s going to become sexy again,’ U.S. energy secretary says at Conservative Climate Summit

YouTube

from all sides at the Conservative Climate Summit to talk about … They’re Lying to You About Nuclear Energy. Maxinomics•2M views · 13:26 · Go to …

Nuclear Power

NEWS

U.S. Agency That Protects Nuclear Arsenal to Furlough Workers – The New York Times

The New York Times

Its precursors include the Atomic Energy Commission and Energy … nuclear deterrent efforts, the Energy Department said. In an interview …

DOE releases nuclear fusion roadmap, aiming for deployment in 2030s | Utility Dive

Utility Dive

DOE said the roadmap will enable a transition to a future Office of Fusion Energy and Innovation once its goals are met, and that office will then …

Sen. Curtis, Energy Secretary Wright on why it’s time to make nuclear energy ‘sexy again’

KSL News

Energy Secretary Chris Wright advocates for a nuclear energy “renaissance” amid rising U.S. demand. He emphasizes nuclear’s safety improvements …

Nuclear Power Emergencies

NEWS

Update 322 – IAEA Director General Statement on Situation in Ukraine

International Atomic Energy Agency

… power to Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhya Nuclear Power … “Depending on emergency diesel generators is the last line of defence for nuclear power plants.

Power supply lines at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant under repair, says IAEA – RBC-Ukraine

RBC-Ukraine

Repairs have begun on the power lines supplying the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant … As a result, the plant switched to emergency power from diesel …

Ukraine saves Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant from blackout for the 42nd time amid Russian strikes

RBC-Ukraine

… power lines that supply the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant … As a result, the nuclear plant was forced to switch to emergency power from diesel …

Nuclear War Threats

NEWS

The Challenge of Golden Dome – RealClearDefense

RealClearDefense

These threats are too fast, too mobile, too stealthy, and too complex for traditional missiles. And it’s not just ICBMs and HGVs. There are threat …

Moment Ukraine destroys Putin’s floating bomb as Russia launches fresh attacks

The Mirror

Putin’s closest ally issues chilling nuclear war threat … 4Comments … Russian and US generals swap WW3 threats with plot … Russian and …

Asim Munir Issues Nuclear Threats To India Amid Internal Chaos & Afghanistan Tensions

YouTube

… war. While Pakistan asserts its readiness … Asim Munir Issues Nuclear Threats To India Amid Internal Chaos & Afghanistan Tensions | Originals.

Nuclear War

NEWS

Iran says restrictions on nuclear programme ‘terminated’ as deal expires – Al Jazeera

Al Jazeera

The US joined Israel in striking Iran during a 12-day war in June, which hit nuclear sites, but also killed more than 1,000 Iranians, including …

Iran announces official end to 10-year-old nuclear agreement – The Guardian

The Guardian

Tehran terminates 2015 deal under which sanctions were lifted in return for curbs on country’s nuclear programme. … After that 12-day war in June, …

Work underway to restore power at Ukrainian nuclear plant as UN announces rare local …

CNN

… war began. “Work has begun to repair damaged off-site power lines to ZNPP (Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant) after 4-week outage, following …

Discussion about this post

LLAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY, #1078, Friday, (10/17/2025)

“End Nuclear Insanity Before Nuclear Insanity Ends Humanity.” ~llaw

Lloyd A. Williams-Pendergraft

Oct 17, 2025

Is Trump out of control? Will he accidentally — or intentionally — start a nuclear WWIII? ~llaw

Notice: Commentary and discussion relative to LLAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY is changing to “once a week” — probably every Monday — but the daily “LLAW’s All Nuclear Daily Digest” section of it will continue as always on a daily basis — but with an added link to a “featured news story of the day Post” that follows in its entirety below . . .

Today’s Feature Story from LLAW’s NUCLEAR WORLD TODAY is from . . .

Nuclear War Threats

NEWS

File:ABC News logo 2021.svg - Wikimedia Commons

A U.S. Air Force B-52 Stratofortress assigned to the 2nd Bomb Wing, Barksdale Air Force Base, Louisiana, takes off for a mission in support of Red Flag-Nellis 25-1, Feb. 6, 2025./Airman 1st Class Michael Sanders/Nellis Air Force Base

B-52s fly off coast of Venezuela in show of force by Trump – ABC News

ABC News – The Walt Disney Company

In less than a week, President Donald Trump has threatened to attack … nuclear weapons to fly in circles off its coast in what appears to be an …


There are 7 categories, including a bonus non-nuclear category for news about the Yellowstone caldera and other volcano and caldera activity around the world that also play an important role in the survival of human and other life.

The feature categories provide articles and information about ‘all things nuclear’ for you to pick from, usually with up to 3 links with headlines concerning the most important media stories in each category, but sometimes fewer and occasionally even none (especially so with the Yellowstone Caldera). If there was no news from a Category today, the Category will not appear. The Categories are listed below in their usual order:

  1. All Things Nuclear
  2. Nuclear Power
  3. Nuclear Power Emergencies
  4. Nuclear War Threats
  5. Nuclear War
  6. Yellowstone Caldera
  7. IAEA News (Friday’s only)

A current Digest of major nuclear media headlines with automated links is listed below by nuclear Category (in the above listed order). If a Category heading does not appear in the daily news Digest, it means there was no news reported from this Category today. Generally, the three best articles in each Category from around the nuclear world(s) are Posted. Occasionally, if a Post is important enough, it may be listed in multiple Categories.

TODAY’S NUCLEAR WORLD NEWS, Friday, (10/17/2025)

All Things Nuclear

NEWS

Amazon Unveils Plans for X-energy’s Debut Nuclear Station – Heatmap News

Heatmap News

Amazon’s nuclear plant. Heatmap Illustration/Amazon … The rising tide lifted just about all EVs — but not the struggling Tesla Cybertruck.

Constellation Energy Has What AI Needs. Here’s the CEO’s Plan. – Barron’s

Barron’s

“He’s got gas and nuclear and renewables. To understand the give and take of all of those things” is particularly valuable, he adds. “There’s a …

Nuclear expert weighs in on impacts to N.W.T. if Peace River, Alta. project goes ahead

CBC

Every nuclear expert that I know is … “One of the things that it’s important to remember is that everybody can name three nuclear accidents.

Nuclear Power

NEWS

Amazon updates SMR progress, with new images of proposed plant – World Nuclear News

World Nuclear News

Amazon has released a series of images of how its planned X-energy small modular reactor plant – to be named the Cascade Advanced Energy Facility …

Amazon shares a ‘first look’ at new nuclear facility – The Verge

The Verge

The company wants to help develop next-generation nuclear reactors as a way of securing more carbon-free energy.ounces Fusion Science and Technology Roadmap to Accelerate …

Department of Energy

Unleash Commercial Nuclear Power in the United States; Fusion. Media Inquiries: (202) 586-4940 or DOENews@hq.doe.gov. Read more at the energy.gov …

Nuclear Power Emergencies

NEWS

Trump’s Energy Emergency Enables Urgent Infrastructure Moves – Bloomberg Law News

Bloomberg Law News

In May, the president announced four additional executive orders, focused on rebuilding the country’s nuclear energy industry. Both the press and the …

Operational event at Yangjiang Nuclear Power Station – The Standard (HK)

The Standard (HK)

The Nuclear Emergency Committee Office of the Guangdong Province notified the Security Bureau yestaday (October 16) of an operational event at …

Van Buren County Emergency officials honored for work to prepare for Palisades restart

WSJM

… Emergency Management Association for its work preparing for the restart of the Palisades Nuclear Power Plant in Covert Township. The Van Buren …

Nuclear War Threats

NEWS

NATO’s Nuclear Threats on Parade – CounterPunch.org

Counterpunch

NATO’s standing threat to attack Russia with nuclear weapons is put on parade every autumn. This year’s thermonuclear dry run⸺dubbed Steadfast …

B-52s fly off coast of Venezuela in show of force by Trump – ABC News

ABC News – The Walt Disney Company

In less than a week, President Donald Trump has threatened to attack … nuclear weapons to fly in circles off its coast in what appears to be an …

Proliferation News 10/16/2025 | Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

… nuclear war.” Trump is reportedly considering a request by … threats from the nuclear-armed North. Seoul Metropolitan Government’s …

Nuclear War

NEWS

Risk of large-scale nuclear war: A judgmental forecasting approach

Harvard Kennedy School

Although, any nuclear use would be catastrophic, large-scale nuclear war—defined here as causing at least 10 million deaths—could have …

Signs of nuclear war is scariest thing this Halloween | Elizabethton Star

Elizabethton Star

Russian President Putin has renewed his threats of using nuclear weapons on America. Sweden and other countries are stockpiling for World War III. The …

Why Ukraine wants, and Russia fears, Tomahawk missiles – DW

DW

They come in many variants, can carry different warheads, including nuclear, and can be launched from various platforms. … war, he added.

Yellowstone Caldera

NEWS

World’s Largest Volcanic Caldera Becomes Viral Fake News – Forbes

Forbes

… Yellowstone Caldera in Wyoming. But the AI-generated image … caldera and dismissing claims that the Apolaki volcano could erupt in the coming years.

Harnessing Earth’s Power, Part 2: Chasing the Underground Connection of Geothermal Energy

Mountain Journal

The bold, dashed line outlines the Yellowstone Caldera. Credit: Yellowstone Volcano Observatory. Yellowstone, America’s first national park …

10 U.S. Volcano Hotspots Experts Say Are Riskier Than Yellowstone – MSN

MSN

Unlike Yellowstone’s sprawling caldera, Mount St. Helens’ dramatic landscape of craters and lava domes stands as a testament to its volatile past …

Weekly roundup of news from iaea.org

10/17/2025

Top stories from the International Atomic Energy Agency

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17 October 2025

Azillah Binti-Othman: Her Path to a Career in Radiation Science

As an IAEA Radiation Processing Officer, Azillah Binti-Othman’s work focuses on how radiation technologies can be applied to real-world settings. She reflects on her career and work at the IAEA. Read more →

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16 October 2025

Food Safety: Costa Rica’s Growing Export

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15 October 2025

Update 321 – IAEA Director General Statement on Situation in Ukraine

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15 October 2025

Second Ministerial Meeting of IAEA World Fusion Energy Group and 30th IAEA Fusion Energy Conference Take Place in Chengdu, China

The second Ministerial Meeting of the IAEA World Fusion Energy Group was held on Tuesday 14 October in Chengdu, China, co-chaired by the China Atomic Energy Authority and the IAEA. Read more →

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13 October 2025

Nuclear Energy in Focus at the G20 in South Africa

Energy leaders from around the world convened in Durban last week for the first ever high level G20 meeting on nuclear energy, held amid rising projections for nuclear Read more →

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