LLAW’s All Things Nuclear #725, Saturday, (08/17/2024)

“End Nuclear Insanity Before Nuclear Insanity Ends Humanity”

Lloyd A. Williams-Pendergraft

Aug 17, 2024

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An illustration of a microreactor about the size of a shipping container

Radiant Industries’ Kaleidos microreactor is designed to fit inside a shipping container.

LLAW’s NUCLEAR ISSUES & COMMENTS, Saturday, (08/17/2024)

This dream is a nightmare waiting to happen, but the story is well prepared and thorough in it presentation from Freethink, but overly optimistic. I am not going to comment in detail on the article’s content until I have had time to study the graphics and the implied grandeur of the future of nuclear power only if we are indifferent and ignorant enough to lower our safety standards and management controls and related limitations on the most dangerous product ever devised on planet Earth.

That alone is enough to say that such a nuclear engineered world is far too complicated, expensive, limited, and life-threatening for humanity to control ‘all things nuclear’ from the most basic of applications upward to the most complicated nuclear weapons and nuclear power production. We are utter fools to think otherwise. ~llaw

Freethink | Logopedia | Fandom

America’s plan to resurrect nuclear power

The US is investing billions of dollars into nuclear. Will it pay off?

By Kristin Houser

August 17, 2024

It’s 2035, and the US just reached its goal of 100% clean electricity. How did we do it? While solar, wind, and other renewables generate the majority of the nation’s electricity, we’d still be relying at least partially on fossil fuels — if not for a recent increase in clean nuclear power. 

America’s nuclear future

It’s been 85 years since scientists first split a uranium atom, and today, the energy released by that process — nuclear fission — is generating about 20% of the United States’ electricity.

Because nuclear power doesn’t produce carbon emissions and is more dependable than solar and wind power, many see it as a key weapon in the battle against climate change, but rather than increasing, the number of reactors in the US has been declining in recent decades.

To find out what can be done to reverse this trend, let’s look at America’s history with nuclear power and the ideas that could help us reach net-zero as soon as possible.

Where we’ve been  

1951 - Argonne National Laboratory researchers generate electricity from nuclear fission for the first time using their Experimental Breeder reactor. 

1953 - US President Dwight D. Eisenhower gives his “Atoms for Peace” speech to the United Nations, promoting the use of nuclear energy “for the benefit of all mankind.”

1957 - The Shippingport Atomic Power Station in Pennsylvania becomes the first commercial nuclear power plant to connect to the US grid. It costs $790 million (in 2023 dollars) and construction takes 32 months. 

1970 - The Atomic Energy Commission predicts the US will have more than 1,000 reactors generating more than half of its electricity by 2000.

1979 - Three Mile Island Nuclear Generating Station in Pennsylvania experiences the worst nuclear accident in US history. There were no deaths, but the partial meltdown leads to increased regulation of nuclear power in the US.

1980 - Nuclear enters a long period of stagnation due to increased regulations, high costs, and public concerns about safety. Over the next three decades,  just one new project will begin construction and more than 100 previously planned projects will be canceled.

1987 - Congress proposes investigating Yucca Mountain in Nevada as the site of the US’s first permanent nuclear waste repository. The project is approved in 2002, but a majority of Nevadans oppose it, and federal funding is cut in 2010.

1990 - The number of nuclear reactors to go online in the US peaks at 112. These reactors generate nearly 20% of the US’s electricity.

2009 - Over the next four years, construction will begin on four new reactors. By 2017, though, two of the four reactors will be canceled due to construction costs. The other two will be plagued by delays and budget overruns, before finally coming online in 2023 and 2024.

2024 - There are now only 94 nuclear reactors operating at 54 nuclear power plants in the US. Remarkably, these still generate 19% of total US electricity and about half of clean electricity.

Where we’re going (maybe)

The US is at a crossroads in its nuclear power journey.

Since the 1990s, the country has been relying on nuclear power to generate about 20% of its electricity, but its nuclear fleet is getting old — the average lifespan of a reactor is 20-40 years, and the average age of operating US reactors is 42 years.

Right now, older reactors are being decommissioned much faster than new ones are being built — in fact, there is only one new reactor under construction in the US today. The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) now forecasts that nuclear power would provide just 13% of electricity in 2050. 

But to reach the Biden administration’s goal of a 100% clean electricity sector by 2035, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory predicts we may need to increase nuclear capacity to the point that it can meet 27% of our electricity demand. Combine this with suddenly surging electricity demand, after decades with little growth, and the US is going to need a lot more clean energy.

So, what can be done to increase the amount of nuclear power in the US?

Reduce red tape

Normally, the more times you do something, the better you get at it — you become more efficient and learn to avoid mistakes that might have tripped you up as a beginner. But the US has had the opposite experience with building nuclear power plants. 

If you started building a new reactor in the mid-1960s, the “overnight cost” (the cost not including any interest on financing) would likely be between $1000-1500/kW, but if you started in 1970s, you’d be paying $3000-$6000/kW (all in 2010 dollars). 

The only reactors that have started construction since — the Vogtle reactors 3 and 4 that just went online in Georgia — had an overnight cost of $7000/kW (in 2010 dollars) and took seven years longer than planned to build.

A chart of nuclear reactor construction costs and timelines
Lovering et al. (2016)

There isn’t one single reason for this decreasing efficiency, but constantly evolving regulations are a major contributor — they can force builders to make changes to previously approved designs, even to plants currently under construction, increasing labor costs and delaying construction timelines.

Building a new nuclear reactor is already a lengthy, multi-billion dollar undertaking. Add in the potential for regulatory issues to extend timelines and increase costs, and it’s not hard to understand why developers are hesitant to get involved in nuclear.

In an attempt to make the investment less risky, Congress passed and President Biden signed the Inflation Reduction Act in 2022, which includes investment tax credits of up to 50% for new nuclear reactors. In 2024, it followed that up with the ​​ADVANCE Act, a bill designed to make it easier to build and deploy new reactors in the US.

In addition to instructing the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC), the chief nuclear regulator in the US, to reduce certain licensing fees and cut down on review times, the ADVANCE Act also updates the NRC’s mission statement to include that it will not “unnecessarily limit the…deployment of nuclear energy.”

Critics argue that the new law will make nuclear power less safe, but proponents like Ted Nordhaus, founder and executive director of the Breakthrough Institute, a research center that promotes technological solutions to environmental challenges, disagrees.

“For decades, the NRC has tried to regulate to make risk from nuclear energy as close to zero as possible, but has failed to consider the cost to the environment, public health, energy security, or prosperity of not building and operating nuclear energy plants,” Nordhaus said in a statement. “This reduces rather than improves public health and safety.”

“But with passage of the ADVANCE bill,” he continued, “Congress is telling the regulators that public benefits are and have always been part of their mission.”

Encourage innovation

The ADVANCE Act is also designed to help get new kinds of nuclear reactors licensed — this could include reactors with unique cooling systems, like TerraPower’s sodium-cooled Natrium reactor, as well as small modular reactors (SMR) and microreactors.

As you’d expect from the names, SMRs and microreactors are smaller than the huge reactors mostly in use at current nuclear plants, which means they don’t generate as much electricity. 

However, their smaller size means they can be deployed in more locations — such as near power-hungry data centers, or as a complement to wind and solar farms — and multiple reactors can be added to a single site to scale up output to whatever is required.

SMRs and microreactors generally have simpler designs with safety characteristics that make them less likely to meltdown, and because they can (theoretically) be built on assembly lines in factories — rather than constructed on site like larger reactors — they have the potential to be cheaper and faster to deploy, too.

An illustration of a microreactor about the size of a shipping container
Radiant Industries

Radiant Industries’ Kaleidos microreactor is designed to fit inside a shipping container.

Potential, but not proven. The NRC has already approved one SMR, but its developer, NuScale Power, canceled its first planned project after the construction budget exploded from $5.3 billion to $9.3 billion. That was even more expensive, per kW, than the Vogtle reactors, which themselves took twice as long and cost twice as much as originally planned.

It’s not clear whether NuScale’s situation is a sign that SMRs aren’t going to be as cheap as hoped or an example of the kinds of growing pains that can be alleviated with more experience. The ADVANCE Act could help us find out by getting more SMR and microreactor developers licensed to deploy their tech.

The DoE’s recently announced plan to provide up to $900 million in funding to SMR developers could help get help, too, as could its Advanced Reactor Demonstration Program (ARDP), which has issued $160 million in funding to get innovative reactors — including one being developed by TerraPower — up and running.

Address public concerns

Red tape and financial risks aren’t the only roadblocks to deploying more nuclear power in the US. While a slight majority of Americans support adding more nuclear power plants to the US electric grid, many who are opposed are staunchly against it, and that opposition can make it harder to build new plants or keep existing ones from closing.

People cite a lot of different reasons for opposing nuclear power, too. 

Some are concerned that reactors will cause harm to people or the environment, from accidents or terrorist attacks. Others see the radioactive waste from reactors as a potential health threat or believe that living near or working at a plant is enough to cause health problems.

The potential for bad actors to use the materials needed to fuel nuclear power plants to make weapons is another concern, and even people who aren’t entirely against nuclear power may protest increasing the US’s reliance on it on the grounds that solar and wind are better options.

These concerns aren’t entirely unfounded — people have sometimes died due to accidents at nuclear power plants, and some recent research suggests that working at one may slightly increase a person’s risk of dying from a solid tumor. 

However, there’s no evidence that simply living near a nuclear power plant in the US is harmful, and some newer reactor designs are essentially meltdown-proof.

Moreover, no form of electricity production is entirely without health risks. Compared to the death rates from other kinds of power, like coal and gas — widely used with minimal protest today, despite their role in climate change — nuclear is actually one of the safest forms of power.

Nuclear waste is also often misunderstood

Rather than being some green ooze with the potential to leak into our water and create three-eyed fish, spent nuclear fuel is solid, and reactors aren’t producing mountains of the stuff — according to the DoE, all of the waste generated since the invention of nuclear power “could fit on a single football field at a depth of less than 10 yards.”

Right now, nuclear waste is stored on site at power plants in steel and concrete casks that pose no threat to human health. The US does lack a national plan for the permanent storage of its waste, though, and the consensus among experts is that we should eventually store it deep underground.

“When it’s on the surface, it’s dependent on a government that’s going to continue to exist to protect it for 100, 200, 300 years,” Elizabeth Muller, cofounder of nuclear waste disposal startup Deep Isolation, told Freethink. “Whereas when it’s deep underground, you don’t need those sort of human mechanisms to keep us all safe.”

Deep Isolation proposes using directional drilling techniques, developed by the oil industry, to create deep boreholes in rock. These could be created in more places, eliminating the need to transport waste to a single large repository designed to store the entire nation’s waste. 

Whether the US decides to pursue something like Deep Isolation’s storage solution or not is TBD, but it is working to alleviate public concerns about nuclear power and nuclear waste.

In 2022, the DoE invested $800,000 into a program focused on community outreach and education surrounding nuclear power, and in 2023, it awarded $26 million in funding to groups that will engage with people in communities being considered for new nuclear waste storage sites.

“This funding will help DoE learn from and involve communities across the country in the consent-based siting process, answer questions and concerns, and develop an understanding so that we are good neighbors even before moving in,” said US Secretary of Energy Jennifer M. Granholm.

Ultimately, our electricity demand is increasing, and until we see some breakthroughs in battery tech, solar and wind likely won’t be affordable and dependable enough to support the grid by themselves. Nuclear power isn’t perfect, but the risks it poses to human health and the environment pale in comparison to those we face if we continue to burn fossil fuels.


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TODAY’S NUCLEAR WORLD’S NEWS, Saturday, (08/17/2024)

All Things Nuclear

NEWS

Where does nuclear waste go? An important question as Indiana welcomes small reactors

Lakeshore Public Media

All Things Considered. Next Up: 6:00 PM Marketplace. 0:00. 0:00. All Things … Dry casks sit at the site of the Palisades Nuclear Generating Station in …

Where does nuclear waste go? An important question as Indiana welcomes small reactors

WFYI

Hoosier Democrats, Republicans and insiders talk candidly about issues, the Indiana Statehouse and everything in between on Indiana Week In Review …

Nuclear Power

NEWS

Russia says Ukraine planning Kursk nuclear plant ‘provocation’ – Reuters

Reuters

Russia accused Ukraine on Saturday of planning to attack a nuclear plant in the Kursk region that President Volodymyr Zelenskiy’s troops have …

America’s plan to resurrect nuclear power – Freethink

Freethink

To increase its supply of clean nuclear power, the US government is cutting licensing fees, rewarding reactor innovation, and more.

Russia accuses Ukraine of bombing road near Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant | Reuters

Reuters

The Russian management of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant said on Saturday a Ukrainian drone dropped an explosive charge on a road outside …

Nuclear Power Emergencies

NEWS

Boost Your Emergency Preparedness with Chester County’s Resources and Events

MyChesCo

… emergency responders, enhancing communication and response during emergencies. … Nuclear power plant · Chester County Offers Free Potassium Iodide …

Origin and AGL data reveals more Australians struggling to pay soaring power bills

The Chronicle

New data reveals a worrying increase in the number of Aussie households forced to take emergency action as they struggle to pay soaring power …

Nuclear War

NEWS

Dirty Nuclear Attack On Russia By Ukraine: Kyiv to target Nuclear Waste Sites – YouTube

YouTube

Russian sources claim Ukraine is planning a “nuclear false flag” attack on power plant waste storage sites using radioactive warheads.

China Responds to Donald Trump’s Nuclear Weapons Claim – Newsweek

Newsweek

Hamas Says Netanyahu Wants an Even Bigger War, Not a Ceasefire · US Fighting ‘Four Cold Wars‘ at the Same Time—Iran Expert. newsweek logo · U.S.World …

Russia says Ukraine planning Kursk nuclear plant ‘provocation’ – Reuters

Reuters

Russia accused Ukraine on Saturday of planning to attack a nuclear plant in the Kursk region that President Volodymyr Zelenskiy’s troops have …

Nuclear War Threats

NEWS

PODCAST: Iran and Israel playing ‘chicken’ amid ratcheting nuclear threat

iranintl.com

PODCAST: Iran and Israel playing ‘chicken’ amid ratcheting nuclear threat. in 34 minutes. Iran and Israel are on a knife edge of all-out war, amid a …

Kursk attack will force Russia to negotiate, says Zelensky aide – BBC News

BBC

The Russians have consistently made threats about nuclear weapons. The Ukrainians would argue with some force that they have called Russia’s bluff …

Kursk incursion exposes Putin’s nuclear threats as baseless | Philip Ingram – YouTube

YouTube

Kursk incursion exposes Putin’s nuclear threats as baseless | Philip Ingram. 433 views · 6 minutes ago Frontline | The War in Ukraine and Global ..

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