LLAW’s All Things Nuclear #779 Sunday, (10/13/2024)

“End Nuclear Insanity Before Nuclear Insanity Ends Humanity”

Lloyd A. Williams-Pendergraft

Oct 13, 2024

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Missiles are launched during a simulated nuclear counterattack drill at an undisclosed location in North Korea on April 22. (See Article for Photo Credits)

LLAW’s NUCLEAR VIEWS, ISSUES & COMMENTS, Sunday, (10/13/2024)

I have no idea who the “experts” are, or if they even exist, when it comes to nuclear forbearance, nuclear proliferation, and other questionable activities dealing with subjective nuclear concerns. But, of course, this one of nuclear “deterrence” is the one that may be the most important and dangerous of all because the very concept is based on fear of each other.

Deterrence is the only factor that prevents nuclear war, most all other country-to-country agreements and pledges having become broken or gone by the wayside, and deterrence is merely a temporary fragile thread that cannot, for many reasons, survive forever among the nations that have nuclear weapons of mass destruction (WMDs) because to continue on is unaffordable both financially and cooperatively trustworthy over time, and time is of the essence where nuclear war and all other things nuclear is concerned. Someone will push the nuclear button in due time and that one single action by a single world leader will end the world as we know it.

The coming inevitable Doomsday is inevitable barring a sudden cooperative change of heart by all nuclear armed countries (which will never happen), or by an unknown force of some kind that has not yet revealed its influence over humanity. ~llaw

Nuclear deterrence still at heart of great power strategy, experts say

  • AFP, PARIS

Nuclear-armed powers have no intention of giving up the atom bomb as part of their military strategy, experts said after the Nobel Peace Prize committee urged against any weakening of the nuclear “taboo.”

Awarding this year’s peace prize to Japan’s Nihon Hidankyo, a grassroots movement of Hiroshima and Nagasaki survivors pushing for a nuclear weapons ban, the committee on Friday said the atom bomb attacks on both Japanese cities in 1945 had led to a “nuclear taboo” which had, however, come under “pressure” since.

While none of the countries possessing nuclear weapons have used them in war since 1945, the implicit or even explicit threat to do so is part of their arsenal.

Missiles are launched during a simulated nuclear counterattack drill at an undisclosed location in North Korea on April 22.

Photo: The North Korean Central News Agency via EPA-EFE

Moscow has repeatedly brandished the nuclear threat in a bid to dissuade the West from supporting Ukraine, which has been fending off Russia’s invasion since February 2022.

Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center director Alexander Gabuev said it was “no coincidence” that Russian President Vladimir Putin made a nuclear threat on the eve of a meeting between US President Joe Biden and Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskiy about Kyiv’s possible use of missiles capable of striking Russian territory.

The Nobel committee wanted to send “a strong signal” to Russia, said Bruno Tertrais, political scientist at France’s Strategic Research Foundation.

Russia had “normalized,” even “trivialized,” talk of a nuclear weapons use since its invasion of Ukraine, he said.

North Korean leader Kim Jong-un said last week his country would use nuclear weapons “without hesitation” if attacked by South Korea and its ally, the US.

In the Middle East, Israel, the region’s only nuclear-armed state, has vowed a “deadly, precise and surprising” response to Iran’s direct strike on Israeli territory on Oct. 1.

Meanwhile, Tehran has significantly ramped up its nuclear program and now has enough material to build more than three atomic bombs, the International Atomic Energy Agency said.

“The logic of deterrence is firmly entrenched in countries that have nuclear weapons,” said Tertrais, adding however that the risk of atomic bomb use “is no greater now than five years ago.”

Standard nuclear doctrine — developed during the Cold War between superpowers the US and the Soviet Union — is based on the assumption that such weapons would never have to be used, because their impact is so devastating, and because nuclear retaliation would probably bring similar destruction on the original attacker.

This is why China has never given up its “no first strike” doctrine, said Lukasz Kulesa, Director of Proliferation and Nuclear Policy at the Royal United Services Institute.

Other countries have also signaled that nuclear arms use would be a last resort while not ruling it out completely to maintain credibility in the eyes of opponents, Kulesa said.

However, keeping a safe balance between threat and restraint can never be risk-free, he said.

“There is always a possibility of failure. There is also a possibility of inadvertent escalation that can go all the way to the nuclear level,” he said.

Countries possessing nuclear weapons today are the US, Russia, the UK, France, China, India, Pakistan and North Korea.

Israel is also widely assumed to have an arsenal of nuclear weapons, although it has never officially acknowledged this.


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TODAY’S NUCLEAR WORLD’S NEWS, Sunday, (10/13/2024)

All Things Nuclear

NEWS

Israel is expected to launch retaliatory strikes against Iran for its missile attack – Texas Public Radio

Texas Public Radio

All Things Considered · Book Public · Fronteras · The Ghost of Frank J … nuclear agreement. McNally says that strike was small and easily …

Navy Just Reloaded A Vertical Launch System For The First Time While Underway At Sea

The War Zone

Bunker Talk: Let’s Talk About All The Things We Did And Didn’t Cover … Chinese Submarine That Sunk Had Exotic Hybrid Nuclear Powerplant: Report …

Israel is expected to launch retaliatory strikes against Iran for its missile attack – WMUK

WMUK

All Things Considered. Next Up: 6:00 PM The Daily. 0:00. 0:00. All Things … nuclear agreement. McNally says that strike was small and easily …

Nuclear Power

NEWS

Lukashenko says Russian nuclear shift was overdue – Reuters

Reuters

He said Moscow would consider any assault on it supported by a nuclear power to be a joint attack. The announcement was the Kremlin’s answer to …

State governor announces plans for new nuclear energy development – Yahoo

Yahoo

Tennessee has greenlit a nuclear energy development plan that will continue to strengthen energy independence in the United States and support …

Nuclear deterrence still at heart of great power strategy, experts say – Taipei Times

Taipei Times

Nuclear-armed powers have no intention of giving up the atom bomb as part of their military strategy, experts said after the Nobel Peace Prize …

Nuclear Power Emergencies

NEWS

Japan’s Strategy to Boost LNG Purchases: A Move Toward Greater Energy Security

Modern Ghana

Japan is considering a significant increase in its liquefied natural gas (LNG) purchases for emergency reserves, aiming to enhance its energy …

Japan may boost LNG buys for emergency reserve to nearly 1 million tonnes a year

The Business Times

… utility in urgent need, hedging against unexpected supply crunches triggered by military conflicts or nuclear reactor halts, among other issues.

Nuclear War

NEWS

After Hinting At Nuclear Bomb; Iran Now Gives ‘6 Months Nuke‘ Warning To Israel; Big Attack Plan?

YouTube

Iranian MP Mohammad Manan Raeisi made a big admission on Tehran’s nuclear weapons. The Iranian MP said Tehran can develop nuclear weapons within …

US nuclear targets map shows exactly where enemies could strike in America – Irish Star

Irish Star

A map has shown potential targets in the event of a nuclear world war across all American states, with a concentration in the East and along the …

Editorial: Nuclear disarmament is an urgent cause in a world on the brink | Morning Star

Morning Star

TOMORROW Nato begins nuclear war drills over western Europe. Exercise Steadfast Noon tests the nuclear capability of non-nuclear weapons states …

Nuclear War Threats

NEWS

The looming nuclear threat a call for global security reform

Global Times

… nuclear threats. However, we must … Why have the existing security mechanisms failed to effectively prevent the threat of nuclear war?

Nobel Peace Prize winners warn of rising risk of nuclear war – World – Business Recorder

Business Recorder

“The international situation is getting progressively worse, and now wars are being waged as countries threaten the use of nuclear weapons,” said …

Bob Woodward on “War” – CBS News

CBS News

Throughout the war in Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir Putin has rattled his nuclear saber, and the U.S. has dismissed those threats as . . .

Yellowstone Caldera

NEWS

24 km NE of Point Possession, Alaska, on Saturday, Oct 12, 2024, at 01:26 pm (Anchorage Time)

Volcano Discovery

… caldera, and Ijen in East Java. Volcano Calendar 2019 … Yellowstone quakes · Yellowstone quakes · Latest earthquakes under Yellowstone volcano

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